Super League · 2023

Changchun Yatai 1–0 Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Changchun Yatai won 1–0.

Shots
430
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.331.64
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Changchun Yatai beat Chengdu Rongcheng 1–0. Recorded in this match (Changchun Yatai – Chengdu Rongcheng): shots 4–30, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.33–1.64, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Changchun Yatai's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Changchun Yatai's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.59 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Changchun Yatai, Chengdu Rongcheng.

4 days ▲Rest daysChangchun Yatai · Chengdu Rongcheng4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricChangchun YataiChengdu RongchengBaseline
Rest days4 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Chengdu Rongcheng show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Chengdu Rongcheng's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsChangchun Yatai · Chengdu Rongcheng15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChangchun YataiChengdu RongchengBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match15 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match7.82 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots30 shotsChangchun Yatai 4 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 30 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsChangchun Yatai 1 shot, Chengdu Rongcheng 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.33 xG1.64 xGChangchun Yatai 0.33 xG, Chengdu Rongcheng 1.64 xG
  • Possession30%70%Changchun Yatai 30%, Chengdu Rongcheng 70%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersChangchun Yatai 1 corner, Chengdu Rongcheng 6 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls15 foulsChangchun Yatai 18 fouls, Chengdu Rongcheng 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Changchun Yatai
2Draws
1Chengdu Rongcheng
Chengdu Rongcheng — Changchun Yatai · Super League2–2
Chengdu Rongcheng — Changchun Yatai · Super League2–2
Changchun Yatai — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Changchun Yatai favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Chengdu Rongcheng in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Changchun Yatai22 matchesChengdu Rongcheng22 matches
1.59 goals/matchGoals scored22/221.55 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.51 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 15 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 4.86 shots/match
51.1%Possession22/22● 52.6%
3.59 corners/matchCorners22/22● 5.32 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls22/2213.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Aug 2023, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

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