PitchMath
Super League · 2023

Chengdu Rongcheng 0–1 Wuhan Three Towns · Super League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wuhan Three Towns won 0–1.

Shots
1119
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.852.12
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wuhan Three Towns beat Chengdu Rongcheng 1–0. Recorded in this match (Chengdu Rongcheng – Wuhan Three Towns): shots 11–19, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.85–2.12, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chengdu Rongcheng's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chengdu Rongcheng's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots19 shotsChengdu Rongcheng 11 shots, Wuhan Three Towns 19 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsChengdu Rongcheng 2 shots, Wuhan Three Towns 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG2.12 xGChengdu Rongcheng 0.85 xG, Wuhan Three Towns 2.12 xG
  • Possession51%49%Chengdu Rongcheng 51%, Wuhan Three Towns 49%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersChengdu Rongcheng 6 corners, Wuhan Three Towns 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsChengdu Rongcheng 12 fouls, Wuhan Three Towns 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Chengdu Rongcheng
1Draws
0Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League3–3
Chengdu Rongcheng — Wuhan Three Towns · Super League1–0
Wuhan Three Towns — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chengdu Rongcheng favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Wuhan Three Towns in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chengdu Rongcheng23 matchesWuhan Three Towns23 matches
1.48 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.13 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.68 xG/match
14.9 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 16.4 shots/match
4.74 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 5.61 shots/match
52.5%Possession23/23● 55.7%
5.35 corners/match ●Corners23/234.52 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls23/2311 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Aug 2023, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChengdu RongchengWuhan Three Towns
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2023
Head-to-headChengdu Rongcheng — Wuhan Three Towns
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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