PitchMath
Super League · 2023

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 1–1 Changchun Yatai · Super League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang and Changchun Yatai drew 1–1.

Shots
2114
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
3.071.53
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang and Changchun Yatai drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang – Changchun Yatai): shots 21–14, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 3.07–1.53, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Changchun Yatai's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Changchun Yatai's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.41 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots14 shotsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 21 shots, Changchun Yatai 14 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 8 shots, Changchun Yatai 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.07 xG1.53 xGHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 3.07 xG, Changchun Yatai 1.53 xG
  • Possession59%41%Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 59%, Changchun Yatai 41%
  • Corners12 corners2 cornersHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 12 corners, Changchun Yatai 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls17 foulsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 13 fouls, Changchun Yatai 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
1Draws
1Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League3–1
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Changchun Yatai · Super League6–2
Changchun Yatai — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Changchun Yatai in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang29 matchesChangchun Yatai29 matches
1.28 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.52 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals29/291.19 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 11.5 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 4.21 shots/match
47.9%Possession29/29● 51.2%
4.1 corners/match ●Corners29/293.48 corners/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls29/2913.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Oct 2023, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHenan FC Jiuzu DukangChangchun Yatai
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2023
Head-to-headHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Changchun Yatai
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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