PitchMath
Super League · 2023

Beijing Guoan 2–3 Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chengdu Rongcheng won 2–3.

Shots
1816
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.651.21
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chengdu Rongcheng beat Beijing Guoan 3–2. Recorded in this match (Beijing Guoan – Chengdu Rongcheng): shots 18–16, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.65–1.21, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chengdu Rongcheng's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chengdu Rongcheng's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.66 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.66 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots16 shotsBeijing Guoan 18 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsBeijing Guoan 6 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.65 xG1.21 xGBeijing Guoan 2.65 xG, Chengdu Rongcheng 1.21 xG
  • Possession58%42%Beijing Guoan 58%, Chengdu Rongcheng 42%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersBeijing Guoan 7 corners, Chengdu Rongcheng 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsBeijing Guoan 13 fouls, Chengdu Rongcheng 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Beijing Guoan
1Draws
0Chengdu Rongcheng
Chengdu Rongcheng — Beijing Guoan · Super League0–1
Beijing Guoan — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League0–0
Chengdu Rongcheng — Beijing Guoan · Super League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Beijing Guoan favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Chengdu Rongcheng in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Beijing Guoan29 matchesChengdu Rongcheng29 matches
1.72 goals/matchGoals scored29/291.66 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals29/291.5 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 14.9 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 5.1 shots/match
58.3% ●Possession29/2951.7%
6.1 corners/match ●Corners29/295.14 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls29/2913.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Oct 2023, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBeijing GuoanChengdu Rongcheng
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2023
Head-to-headBeijing Guoan — Chengdu Rongcheng
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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