PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Shenzhen Peng City 1–3 Qingdao Hainiu · Super League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Qingdao Hainiu won 1–3.

Shots
189
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.151.18
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Qingdao Hainiu beat Shenzhen Peng City 3–1. Recorded in this match (Shenzhen Peng City – Qingdao Hainiu): shots 18–9, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.15–1.18, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Qingdao Hainiu's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Qingdao Hainiu's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.63 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Shenzhen Peng City have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.3% ●PossessionShenzhen Peng City · Qingdao Hainiu41.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricShenzhen Peng CityQingdao HainiuBaseline
Possession54.3%41.8%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsShenzhen Peng City 18 shots, Qingdao Hainiu 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsShenzhen Peng City 5 shots, Qingdao Hainiu 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.15 xG1.18 xGShenzhen Peng City 2.15 xG, Qingdao Hainiu 1.18 xG
  • Possession64%36%Shenzhen Peng City 64%, Qingdao Hainiu 36%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersShenzhen Peng City 6 corners, Qingdao Hainiu 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls21 foulsShenzhen Peng City 10 fouls, Qingdao Hainiu 21 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Shenzhen Peng City favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Qingdao Hainiu in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Shenzhen Peng City8 matchesQingdao Hainiu8 matches
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.63 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.65 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.21 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots8/812 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.38 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession8/841.8%
4.38 corners/match ●Corners8/83.5 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls8/815.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Apr 2024, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsShenzhen Peng CityQingdao Hainiu
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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