PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2–3 Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang won 2–3.

Shots
921
Shots on target
410
Expected goals
1.992.08
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang beat Cangzhou Mighty Lions 3–2. Recorded in this match (Cangzhou Mighty Lions – Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang): shots 9–21, shots on target 4–10, expected goals 1.99–2.08, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cangzhou Mighty Lions's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.75 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsCangzhou Mighty Lions · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCangzhou Mighty LionsHenan FC Jiuzu DukangBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against16.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang have recorded the higher season possession share.

32.4%PossessionCangzhou Mighty Lions · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang● 49.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCangzhou Mighty LionsHenan FC Jiuzu DukangBaseline
Possession32.4%49.1%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots21 shotsCangzhou Mighty Lions 9 shots, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 21 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots10 shotsCangzhou Mighty Lions 4 shots, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 10 shots
  • Expected goals1.99 xG2.08 xGCangzhou Mighty Lions 1.99 xG, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 2.08 xG
  • Possession34%66%Cangzhou Mighty Lions 34%, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 66%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersCangzhou Mighty Lions 4 corners, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 6 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls10 foulsCangzhou Mighty Lions 6 fouls, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1Draws
3Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League6–0
Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League0–1
Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League1–1
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cangzhou Mighty Lions favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cangzhou Mighty Lions8 matchesHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang8 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.38 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.63 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.49 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 14.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 4.75 shots/match
32.4%Possession8/8● 49.1%
4 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6.38 corners/match
9.25 fouls/matchFouls8/813.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Apr 2024, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCangzhou Mighty LionsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
Head-to-headCangzhou Mighty Lions — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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