PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Nantong Zhiyun 1–1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nantong Zhiyun and Cangzhou Mighty Lions drew 1–1.

Shots
273
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
3.210.44
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nantong Zhiyun and Cangzhou Mighty Lions drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Nantong Zhiyun – Cangzhou Mighty Lions): shots 27–3, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 3.21–0.44, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantong Zhiyun's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantong Zhiyun's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nantong Zhiyun show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Nantong Zhiyun's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsNantong Zhiyun · Cangzhou Mighty Lions11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNantong ZhiyunCangzhou Mighty LionsBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match18.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Nantong Zhiyun have recorded the higher season possession share.

49% ●PossessionNantong Zhiyun · Cangzhou Mighty Lions33.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNantong ZhiyunCangzhou Mighty LionsBaseline
Possession49%33.5%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots3 shotsNantong Zhiyun 27 shots, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 3 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotNantong Zhiyun 7 shots, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.21 xG0.44 xGNantong Zhiyun 3.21 xG, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0.44 xG
  • Possession58%42%Nantong Zhiyun 58%, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 42%
  • Corners9 corners0 cornersNantong Zhiyun 9 corners, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsNantong Zhiyun 13 fouls, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nantong Zhiyun
1Draws
1Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Nantong Zhiyun — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League1–2
Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Nantong Zhiyun · Super League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantong Zhiyun favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Cangzhou Mighty Lions in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantong Zhiyun13 matchesCangzhou Mighty Lions13 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed13/132 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.17 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots13/1311.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target13/133.15 shots/match
49% ●Possession13/1333.5%
4.92 corners/match ●Corners13/133.23 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls13/138.85 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 May 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNantong ZhiyunCangzhou Mighty Lions
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
Head-to-headNantong Zhiyun — Cangzhou Mighty Lions
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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