PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Nantong Zhiyun 0–1 Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chengdu Rongcheng won 0–1.

Shots
1010
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.381.77
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chengdu Rongcheng beat Nantong Zhiyun 1–0. Recorded in this match (Nantong Zhiyun – Chengdu Rongcheng): shots 10–10, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.38–1.77, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chengdu Rongcheng's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chengdu Rongcheng's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.39 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.6 goals/match2.39 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nantong Zhiyun show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Nantong Zhiyun's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsNantong Zhiyun · Chengdu Rongcheng15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNantong ZhiyunChengdu RongchengBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match8.72 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Chengdu Rongcheng have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.8%PossessionNantong Zhiyun · Chengdu Rongcheng● 54.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNantong ZhiyunChengdu RongchengBaseline
Possession45.8%54.5%50.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots10 shotsNantong Zhiyun 10 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsNantong Zhiyun 4 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.38 xG1.77 xGNantong Zhiyun 0.38 xG, Chengdu Rongcheng 1.77 xG
  • Possession45%55%Nantong Zhiyun 45%, Chengdu Rongcheng 55%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersNantong Zhiyun 3 corners, Chengdu Rongcheng 6 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls18 foulsNantong Zhiyun 20 fouls, Chengdu Rongcheng 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nantong Zhiyun
0Draws
3Chengdu Rongcheng
Chengdu Rongcheng — Nantong Zhiyun · Super League1–0
Nantong Zhiyun — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League0–2
Chengdu Rongcheng — Nantong Zhiyun · Super League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantong Zhiyun favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Chengdu Rongcheng in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantong Zhiyun18 matchesChengdu Rongcheng18 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 2.39 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 0.94 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 2.07 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 15.2 shots/match
2.89 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 5.61 shots/match
45.8%Possession18/18● 54.5%
4.06 corners/matchCorners18/18● 6.94 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls18/1814.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Jul 2024, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNantong ZhiyunChengdu Rongcheng
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
Head-to-headNantong Zhiyun — Chengdu Rongcheng
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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