PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Shanghai Shenhua 3–2 Changchun Yatai · Super League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Shanghai Shenhua won 3–2.

Shots
2613
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
3.721.19
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Shanghai Shenhua beat Changchun Yatai 3–2. Recorded in this match (Shanghai Shenhua – Changchun Yatai): shots 26–13, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 3.72–1.19, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Changchun Yatai's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Changchun Yatai's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Shanghai Shenhua show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Shanghai Shenhua's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.1 shots/match ▲ShotsShanghai Shenhua · Changchun Yatai10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricShanghai ShenhuaChangchun YataiBaseline
Shots18.1 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against9.37 shots/match16.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Shanghai Shenhua have a visible home split

moderate

Shanghai Shenhua's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season18.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20.9 shots/match18.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots13 shotsShanghai Shenhua 26 shots, Changchun Yatai 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsShanghai Shenhua 7 shots, Changchun Yatai 6 shots
  • Expected goals3.72 xG1.19 xGShanghai Shenhua 3.72 xG, Changchun Yatai 1.19 xG
  • Possession56%44%Shanghai Shenhua 56%, Changchun Yatai 44%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersShanghai Shenhua 7 corners, Changchun Yatai 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls11 foulsShanghai Shenhua 16 fouls, Changchun Yatai 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Shanghai Shenhua
3Draws
0Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai — Shanghai Shenhua · Super League1–2
Changchun Yatai — Shanghai Shenhua · Super League1–1
Shanghai Shenhua — Changchun Yatai · Super League1–0
Changchun Yatai — Shanghai Shenhua · Super League0–0
Shanghai Shenhua — Changchun Yatai · Super League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Shanghai Shenhua favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Changchun Yatai in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Shanghai Shenhua19 matchesChangchun Yatai19 matches
2.32 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.47 goals/match
0.42 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.79 goals/match
2.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.41 xG/match
18.1 shots/match ▲Shots19/1910.5 shots/match
7.16 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/193.53 shots/match
57.4% ●Possession19/1948.1%
6.63 corners/match ●Corners19/193.47 corners/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1914.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Jul 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsShanghai ShenhuaChangchun Yatai
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
Head-to-headShanghai Shenhua — Changchun Yatai
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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