PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 3–1 Shandong Taishan · Super League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cangzhou Mighty Lions won 3–1.

Shots
1814
Shots on target
97
Expected goals
1.631.12
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cangzhou Mighty Lions beat Shandong Taishan 3–1. Recorded in this match (Cangzhou Mighty Lions – Shandong Taishan): shots 18–14, shots on target 9–7, expected goals 1.63–1.12, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Shandong Taishan's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Shandong Taishan's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Shandong Taishan show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Shandong Taishan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsCangzhou Mighty Lions · Shandong Taishan16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCangzhou Mighty LionsShandong TaishanBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match16.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against18.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Shandong Taishan have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.4%PossessionCangzhou Mighty Lions · Shandong Taishan● 51.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCangzhou Mighty LionsShandong TaishanBaseline
Possession37.4%51.3%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots14 shotsCangzhou Mighty Lions 18 shots, Shandong Taishan 14 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots7 shotsCangzhou Mighty Lions 9 shots, Shandong Taishan 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.63 xG1.12 xGCangzhou Mighty Lions 1.63 xG, Shandong Taishan 1.12 xG
  • Possession69%31%Cangzhou Mighty Lions 69%, Shandong Taishan 31%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersCangzhou Mighty Lions 7 corners, Shandong Taishan 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsCangzhou Mighty Lions 11 fouls, Shandong Taishan 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1Draws
3Shandong Taishan
Shandong Taishan — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League4–1
Shandong Taishan — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League4–0
Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Shandong Taishan · Super League1–1
Shandong Taishan — Cangzhou Mighty Lions · Super League2–3
Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Shandong Taishan · Super League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cangzhou Mighty Lions favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Shandong Taishan in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cangzhou Mighty Lions23 matchesShandong Taishan23 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.43 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.43 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.56 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 16.5 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 5.52 shots/match
37.4%Possession23/23● 51.3%
3.35 corners/matchCorners23/23● 6.13 corners/match
9.74 fouls/matchFouls23/2316 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Aug 2024, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCangzhou Mighty LionsShandong Taishan
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
Head-to-headCangzhou Mighty Lions — Shandong Taishan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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