PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Changchun Yatai 4–0 Qingdao West Coast · Super League

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Changchun Yatai won 4–0.

Shots
173
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
3.290.22
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Changchun Yatai beat Qingdao West Coast 4–0. Recorded in this match (Changchun Yatai – Qingdao West Coast): shots 17–3, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 3.29–0.22, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Changchun Yatai's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Changchun Yatai's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots3 shotsChangchun Yatai 17 shots, Qingdao West Coast 3 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotChangchun Yatai 5 shots, Qingdao West Coast 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.29 xG0.22 xGChangchun Yatai 3.29 xG, Qingdao West Coast 0.22 xG
  • Possession48%52%Changchun Yatai 48%, Qingdao West Coast 52%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersChangchun Yatai 3 corners, Qingdao West Coast 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls17 foulsChangchun Yatai 18 fouls, Qingdao West Coast 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Changchun Yatai
1Draws
0Qingdao West Coast
Qingdao West Coast — Changchun Yatai · Super League2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Changchun Yatai favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Qingdao West Coast in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Changchun Yatai28 matchesQingdao West Coast28 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.32 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed28/282 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.15 xG/match
11.2 shots/match ▲Shots28/2810.4 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4 shots/match
48.4% ●Possession28/2847.8%
3.82 corners/matchCorners28/28● 4.14 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2812.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChangchun YataiQingdao West Coast
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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