PitchMath
Super League · 2025

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 3–2 Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang won 3–2.

Shots
1616
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.20.97
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang beat Chengdu Rongcheng 3–2. Recorded in this match (Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang – Chengdu Rongcheng): shots 16–16, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.2–0.97, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/matchCornersHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Chengdu Rongcheng● 6.43 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricHenan FC Jiuzu DukangChengdu RongchengBaseline
Corners6 corners/match6.43 corners/match4.7 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Chengdu Rongcheng show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Chengdu Rongcheng's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Chengdu Rongcheng18.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHenan FC Jiuzu DukangChengdu RongchengBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match18.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match8.86 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots16 shotsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 16 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 16 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 9 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.2 xG0.97 xGHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 2.2 xG, Chengdu Rongcheng 0.97 xG
  • Possession51%49%Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 51%, Chengdu Rongcheng 49%
  • Corners8 corners6 cornersHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 8 corners, Chengdu Rongcheng 6 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls10 foulsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 17 fouls, Chengdu Rongcheng 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
1Draws
3Chengdu Rongcheng
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League2–0
Chengdu Rongcheng — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League4–2
Chengdu Rongcheng — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League2–0
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League1–1
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Chengdu Rongcheng in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang13 matchesChengdu Rongcheng14 matches
1.54 goals/matchGoals scored13/14▲ 1.79 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed13/14▲ 0.79 goals/match
1.71 xG/matchExpected goals13/14▲ 2.49 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots13/14▲ 18.4 shots/match
4.31 shots/matchShots on target13/14▲ 6.64 shots/match
49.8%Possession13/14● 54.9%
6 corners/matchCorners13/14● 6.43 corners/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1414.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Jun 2025, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHenan FC Jiuzu DukangChengdu Rongcheng
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2025
Head-to-headHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Chengdu Rongcheng
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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