PitchMath
Super League · 2025

Shanghai Shenhua 3–2 Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Shanghai Shenhua won 3–2.

Shots
1910
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.381.34
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Shanghai Shenhua beat Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 3–2. Recorded in this match (Shanghai Shenhua – Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang): shots 19–10, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.38–1.34, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

8.28 corners/match ●CornersShanghai Shenhua · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang6.11 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricShanghai ShenhuaHenan FC Jiuzu DukangBaseline
Corners8.28 corners/match6.11 corners/match4.71 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Shanghai Shenhua show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Shanghai Shenhua's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.7 shots/match ▲ShotsShanghai Shenhua · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricShanghai ShenhuaHenan FC Jiuzu DukangBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against9.28 shots/match11.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots10 shotsShanghai Shenhua 19 shots, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 10 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsShanghai Shenhua 9 shots, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.38 xG1.34 xGShanghai Shenhua 2.38 xG, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 1.34 xG
  • Possession47%53%Shanghai Shenhua 47%, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 53%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersShanghai Shenhua 7 corners, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsShanghai Shenhua 16 fouls, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Shanghai Shenhua
1Draws
1Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Shanghai Shenhua · Super League1–3
Shanghai Shenhua — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League2–1
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Shanghai Shenhua · Super League1–2
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Shanghai Shenhua · Super League3–0
Shanghai Shenhua — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Shanghai Shenhua favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Shanghai Shenhua18 matchesHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang18 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.5 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.83 goals/match
2.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.77 xG/match
17.7 shots/match ▲Shots18/1813.8 shots/match
6.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/184.67 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession18/1851.9%
8.28 corners/match ●Corners18/186.11 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls18/1814.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Jul 2025, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsShanghai ShenhuaHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2025
Head-to-headShanghai Shenhua — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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