PitchMath
Super League · 2025

Shandong Taishan 2–1 Changchun Yatai · Super League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Shandong Taishan won 2–1.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.351.21
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Shandong Taishan beat Changchun Yatai 2–1. Recorded in this match (Shandong Taishan – Changchun Yatai): shots 18–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.35–1.21, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Changchun Yatai's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Changchun Yatai's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.65 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Shandong Taishan show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Shandong Taishan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsShandong Taishan · Changchun Yatai8.88 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricShandong TaishanChangchun YataiBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match8.88 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match16.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Shandong Taishan have a visible home split

moderate

Shandong Taishan's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsShandong Taishan 18 shots, Changchun Yatai 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsShandong Taishan 3 shots, Changchun Yatai 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.35 xG1.21 xGShandong Taishan 1.35 xG, Changchun Yatai 1.21 xG
  • Possession60%40%Shandong Taishan 60%, Changchun Yatai 40%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersShandong Taishan 6 corners, Changchun Yatai 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsShandong Taishan 14 fouls, Changchun Yatai 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Shandong Taishan
2Draws
0Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai — Shandong Taishan · Super League0–0
Changchun Yatai — Shandong Taishan · Super League2–2
Shandong Taishan — Changchun Yatai · Super League4–2
Changchun Yatai — Shandong Taishan · Super League0–3
Shandong Taishan — Changchun Yatai · Super League4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Shandong Taishan favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Changchun Yatai in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Shandong Taishan20 matchesChangchun Yatai20 matches
1.85 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/200.65 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed20/201.5 goals/match
1.94 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/170.87 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots19/178.88 shots/match
6.05 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/163.13 shots/match
51.9% ●Possession19/1743.6%
5.58 corners/match ●Corners19/174.24 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1713.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Aug 2025, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsShandong TaishanChangchun Yatai
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2025
Head-to-headShandong Taishan — Changchun Yatai
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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