PitchMath
Super League · 2025

Shandong Taishan 3–2 Qingdao West Coast · Super League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Shandong Taishan won 3–2.

Shots
1110
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
0.991.48
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Shandong Taishan beat Qingdao West Coast 3–2. Recorded in this match (Shandong Taishan – Qingdao West Coast): shots 11–10, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 0.99–1.48, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Shandong Taishan's recent record differs from the season

weak

Shandong Taishan's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.95 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Shandong Taishan have a visible home split

moderate

Shandong Taishan's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Shandong Taishan show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Shandong Taishan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsShandong Taishan · Qingdao West Coast10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricShandong TaishanQingdao West CoastBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots10 shotsShandong Taishan 11 shots, Qingdao West Coast 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsShandong Taishan 8 shots, Qingdao West Coast 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG1.48 xGShandong Taishan 0.99 xG, Qingdao West Coast 1.48 xG
  • Possession59%41%Shandong Taishan 59%, Qingdao West Coast 41%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersShandong Taishan 4 corners, Qingdao West Coast 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsShandong Taishan 17 fouls, Qingdao West Coast 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Shandong Taishan
1Draws
1Qingdao West Coast
Qingdao West Coast — Shandong Taishan · Super League1–5
Shandong Taishan — Qingdao West Coast · Super League0–1
Qingdao West Coast — Shandong Taishan · Super League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Shandong Taishan favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Qingdao West Coast in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Shandong Taishan22 matchesQingdao West Coast22 matches
1.95 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.32 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.55 goals/match
1.94 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/221.49 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots21/2210.6 shots/match
6.19 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/223.55 shots/match
52.2% ●Possession21/2246.2%
5.24 corners/match ●Corners21/224.36 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2213.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsShandong TaishanQingdao West Coast
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2025
Head-to-headShandong Taishan — Qingdao West Coast
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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