PitchMath
Super League · 2025

Chengdu Rongcheng 1–0 Changchun Yatai · Super League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chengdu Rongcheng won 1–0.

Shots
126
Shots on target
20
Expected goals
1.660.35
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chengdu Rongcheng beat Changchun Yatai 1–0. Recorded in this match (Chengdu Rongcheng – Changchun Yatai): shots 12–6, shots on target 2–0, expected goals 1.66–0.35, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Changchun Yatai show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Changchun Yatai's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.3 shots/match ▲ShotsChengdu Rongcheng · Changchun Yatai8.62 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChengdu RongchengChangchun YataiBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match8.62 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against8.67 shots/match15.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Chengdu Rongcheng's recent record differs from the season

weak

Chengdu Rongcheng's last-five shots average is below their season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match17.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Chengdu Rongcheng have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.1% ●PossessionChengdu Rongcheng · Changchun Yatai43%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricChengdu RongchengChangchun YataiBaseline
Possession54.1%43%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots6 shotsChengdu Rongcheng 12 shots, Changchun Yatai 6 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots0 shotsChengdu Rongcheng 2 shots, Changchun Yatai 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.66 xG0.35 xGChengdu Rongcheng 1.66 xG, Changchun Yatai 0.35 xG
  • Possession62%38%Chengdu Rongcheng 62%, Changchun Yatai 38%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersChengdu Rongcheng 3 corners, Changchun Yatai 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsChengdu Rongcheng 14 fouls, Changchun Yatai 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Chengdu Rongcheng
1Draws
1Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League1–2
Chengdu Rongcheng — Changchun Yatai · Super League4–0
Changchun Yatai — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League1–2
Changchun Yatai — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League1–0
Chengdu Rongcheng — Changchun Yatai · Super League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chengdu Rongcheng favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Changchun Yatai in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chengdu Rongcheng24 matchesChangchun Yatai24 matches
2.04 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/240.67 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.33 goals/match
2.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/210.83 xG/match
17.3 shots/match ▲Shots24/218.62 shots/match
6.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/202.7 shots/match
54.1% ●Possession24/2143%
5.71 corners/match ●Corners24/214.19 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls24/2114 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 12 Sept 2025, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChengdu RongchengChangchun Yatai
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2025
Head-to-headChengdu Rongcheng — Changchun Yatai
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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