PitchMath
Super League · 2025

Meizhou Hakka 1–2 Qingdao West Coast · Super League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Qingdao West Coast won 1–2.

Shots
1415
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.581.52
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Qingdao West Coast beat Meizhou Hakka 2–1. Recorded in this match (Meizhou Hakka – Qingdao West Coast): shots 14–15, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.58–1.52, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Qingdao West Coast's recent record differs from the season

weak

Qingdao West Coast's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.29 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots15 shotsMeizhou Hakka 14 shots, Qingdao West Coast 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsMeizhou Hakka 4 shots, Qingdao West Coast 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG1.52 xGMeizhou Hakka 0.58 xG, Qingdao West Coast 1.52 xG
  • Possession43%57%Meizhou Hakka 43%, Qingdao West Coast 57%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersMeizhou Hakka 2 corners, Qingdao West Coast 8 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsMeizhou Hakka 16 fouls, Qingdao West Coast 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Meizhou Hakka
2Draws
1Qingdao West Coast
Qingdao West Coast — Meizhou Hakka · Super League3–1
Qingdao West Coast — Meizhou Hakka · Super League3–3
Meizhou Hakka — Qingdao West Coast · Super League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Meizhou Hakka favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Qingdao West Coast in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Meizhou Hakka24 matchesQingdao West Coast24 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.29 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.54 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.46 xG/match
11.8 shots/match ▲Shots24/2410.8 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target24/243.54 shots/match
47.5% ●Possession24/2447%
6 corners/match ●Corners24/244.38 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls24/2413.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMeizhou HakkaQingdao West Coast
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2025
Head-to-headMeizhou Hakka — Qingdao West Coast
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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