PitchMath
Super League · 2025

Changchun Yatai 2–2 Qingdao Hainiu · Super League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Changchun Yatai and Qingdao Hainiu drew 2–2.

Shots
128
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.540.88
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Changchun Yatai and Qingdao Hainiu drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Changchun Yatai – Qingdao Hainiu): shots 12–8, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.54–0.88, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Changchun Yatai's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Changchun Yatai's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.81 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsChangchun Yatai 12 shots, Qingdao Hainiu 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsChangchun Yatai 6 shots, Qingdao Hainiu 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.54 xG0.88 xGChangchun Yatai 2.54 xG, Qingdao Hainiu 0.88 xG
  • Possession50%50%Changchun Yatai 50%, Qingdao Hainiu 50%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersChangchun Yatai 6 corners, Qingdao Hainiu 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls19 foulsChangchun Yatai 8 fouls, Qingdao Hainiu 19 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Changchun Yatai
0Draws
2Qingdao Hainiu
Qingdao Hainiu — Changchun Yatai · Super League3–0
Changchun Yatai — Qingdao Hainiu · Super League5–0
Qingdao Hainiu — Changchun Yatai · Super League0–1
Qingdao Hainiu — Changchun Yatai · Super League1–0
Changchun Yatai — Qingdao Hainiu · Super League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Changchun Yatai favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Qingdao Hainiu in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Changchun Yatai26 matchesQingdao Hainiu25 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored26/25▲ 1 goal/match
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/251.56 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals23/25▲ 1.27 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots23/25▲ 12.5 shots/match
3.05 shots/matchShots on target22/25▲ 3.64 shots/match
43.9%Possession23/25● 48.3%
4.13 corners/match ●Corners23/254.08 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2514.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChangchun YataiQingdao Hainiu
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2025
Head-to-headChangchun Yatai — Qingdao Hainiu
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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