PitchMath
Super League · 2025

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 2–0 Changchun Yatai · Super League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang won 2–0.

Shots
187
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
2.251.28
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang beat Changchun Yatai 2–0. Recorded in this match (Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang – Changchun Yatai): shots 18–7, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 2.25–1.28, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Changchun Yatai's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Changchun Yatai's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.78 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Changchun Yatai show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Changchun Yatai's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Changchun Yatai8.92 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHenan FC Jiuzu DukangChangchun YataiBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match8.92 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match15.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang have recorded the higher season possession share.

52% ●PossessionHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Changchun Yatai43.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHenan FC Jiuzu DukangChangchun YataiBaseline
Possession52%43.6%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots7 shotsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 18 shots, Changchun Yatai 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 4 shots, Changchun Yatai 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.25 xG1.28 xGHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 2.25 xG, Changchun Yatai 1.28 xG
  • Possession64%36%Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 64%, Changchun Yatai 36%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 7 corners, Changchun Yatai 2 corners

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
3Draws
1Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League0–1
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Changchun Yatai · Super League0–0
Changchun Yatai — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League0–0
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Changchun Yatai · Super League1–1
Changchun Yatai — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Changchun Yatai in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang27 matchesChangchun Yatai27 matches
1.74 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.78 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.96 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/240.96 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots27/248.92 shots/match
4.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/232.96 shots/match
52% ●Possession27/2443.6%
5.96 corners/match ●Corners27/244.04 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls26/2313.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHenan FC Jiuzu DukangChangchun Yatai
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2025
Head-to-headHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Changchun Yatai
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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