Super League · 2026

Zhejiang 3–2 Qingdao Hainiu · Super League

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Zhejiang won 3–2.

Shots
1720
Shots on target
66
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zhejiang beat Qingdao Hainiu 3–2. Recorded in this match (Zhejiang – Qingdao Hainiu): shots 17–20, shots on target 6–6, possession 52%–48%, corners 4–6. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Zhejiang's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Zhejiang's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Zhejiang have a visible home split

moderate

Zhejiang's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Zhejiang have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.5% ●PossessionZhejiang · Qingdao Hainiu45.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricZhejiangQingdao HainiuBaseline
Possession53.5%45.3%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots20 shotsZhejiang 17 shots, Qingdao Hainiu 20 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsZhejiang 6 shots, Qingdao Hainiu 6 shots
  • Possession52%48%Zhejiang 52%, Qingdao Hainiu 48%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersZhejiang 4 corners, Qingdao Hainiu 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsZhejiang 12 fouls, Qingdao Hainiu 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Zhejiang
1Draws
1Qingdao Hainiu
Qingdao Hainiu — Zhejiang · Super League1–4
Zhejiang — Qingdao Hainiu · Super League0–0
Qingdao Hainiu — Zhejiang · Super League0–3
Zhejiang — Qingdao Hainiu · Super League4–3
Qingdao Hainiu — Zhejiang · Super League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zhejiang favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Qingdao Hainiu in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zhejiang16 matchesQingdao Hainiu16 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.5 goals/match
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.75 goals/match
1.62 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.29 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots16/1612.3 shots/match
5.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/163.94 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession16/1645.3%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners16/164.75 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards4/42.25 cards/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 14 Jul 2026, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

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