PitchMath
UEFA Europa League · 2026

Milan 0–2 Benfica · UEFA Europa League

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Benfica won 0–2.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.990.62
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Benfica beat Milan 2–0. Recorded in this match (Milan – Benfica): shots 17–11, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.99–0.62, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsMilan 17 shots, Benfica 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsMilan 4 shots, Benfica 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG0.62 xGMilan 0.99 xG, Benfica 0.62 xG
  • Possession60%40%Milan 60%, Benfica 40%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerMilan 10 corners, Benfica 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsMilan 14 fouls, Benfica 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card5 cardsMilan 1 card, Benfica 5 cards
  • Passes567 passes382 passesMilan 567 passes, Benfica 382 passes
  • Pass accuracy91.9%84.8%Milan 91.9%, Benfica 84.8%
  • Shots inside box9 shots5 shotsMilan 9 shots, Benfica 5 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks4 blocksMilan 3 blocks, Benfica 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesMilan 2 saves, Benfica 4 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesMilan 0 offsides, Benfica 3 offsides

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Milan1 matches
  • Benfica5 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

These two clubs played in different competitions last season, so the values are shown side by side without ranking them against each other.

Milan

Competition
Serie A
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.39 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.92 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.55 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.17 xG/match
  • Shots13.2 shots/match
  • Shots allowed11.5 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.37 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.68 shots/match
  • Possession51.8%
  • Corners4.26 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.29 corners/match
  • Cards1.79 cards/match
  • Fouls10.1 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency39%
  • Scoring frequency82%

Benfica

Competition
Primeira Liga
Season
2025/26
Sample
36 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
28 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.22 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.69 goals/match
  • Expected goals2.06 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed0.83 xG/match
  • Shots17.3 shots/match
  • Shots allowed9.03 shots/match
  • Shots on target6.14 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.03 shots/match
  • Possession58.1%
  • Corners7.11 corners/match
  • Corners allowed2.72 corners/match
  • Cards2.3 cards/match
  • Fouls11 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency44%
  • Scoring frequency94%

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 16 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsMilanBenfica
CompetitionUEFA Europa League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this