Eredivisie · 2026

NEC Nijmegen 1–2 SC Telstar · Eredivisie

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

SC Telstar won 1–2.

Shots
278
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
2.151.66
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Telstar beat NEC Nijmegen 2–1. Recorded in this match (NEC Nijmegen – SC Telstar): shots 27–8, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 2.15–1.66, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots8 shotsNEC Nijmegen 27 shots, SC Telstar 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsNEC Nijmegen 4 shots, SC Telstar 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.15 xG1.66 xGNEC Nijmegen 2.15 xG, SC Telstar 1.66 xG
  • Possession71%29%NEC Nijmegen 71%, SC Telstar 29%
  • Corners13 corners3 cornersNEC Nijmegen 13 corners, SC Telstar 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsNEC Nijmegen 12 fouls, SC Telstar 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsNEC Nijmegen 2 cards, SC Telstar 2 cards
  • Passes552 passes227 passesNEC Nijmegen 552 passes, SC Telstar 227 passes
  • Pass accuracy89.1%70%NEC Nijmegen 89.1%, SC Telstar 70%
  • Shots inside box17 shots8 shotsNEC Nijmegen 17 shots, SC Telstar 8 shots
  • Blocked shots11 blocks2 blocksNEC Nijmegen 11 blocks, SC Telstar 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesNEC Nijmegen 1 save, SC Telstar 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideNEC Nijmegen 2 offsides, SC Telstar 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emre Mor · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDušan Tadić · NEC Nijmegen · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrayann Pereira · NEC Nijmegen · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrayann Pereira · NEC Nijmegen · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJelani Seedorf · SC Telstar · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedClement Bischoff · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 7′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 42′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · NEC Nijmegen · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrayann Pereira · NEC Nijmegen · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedClement Bischoff · NEC Nijmegen · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDušan Tadić · NEC Nijmegen · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJelani Seedorf · SC Telstar · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · NEC Nijmegen · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmre Mor · NEC Nijmegen · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEmre Mor · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedClement Bischoff · NEC Nijmegen · 33′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Peersman · SC Telstar · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · NEC Nijmegen · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 13′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDušan Tadić · NEC Nijmegen · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNoé Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 59′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRui Mendes · SC Telstar · 24′ · 0.14 xG · goalMarvin Peersman · SC Telstar · 27′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 1′ · 0.42 xG · goalKaj Sierhuis · NEC Nijmegen · 82′ · 0.48 xG · goalSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 58′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

NEC Nijmegen: 27 shots, 4 on target, 1.87 xG. SC Telstar: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Kaj Sierhuis · NEC Nijmegen · 82′Patrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 1′Rui Mendes · SC Telstar · 24′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: NEC Nijmegen 1.87 xG · SC Telstar 1.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0NEC Nijmegen
2Draws
0SC Telstar
NEC Nijmegen — SC Telstar · Eredivisie1–1
SC Telstar — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • NEC Nijmegen1 matches
  • SC Telstar1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

NEC Nijmegen

Competition
Eredivisie
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.26 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.56 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.83 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.42 xG/match
  • Shots17 shots/match
  • Shots allowed11.2 shots/match
  • Shots on target6.76 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.97 shots/match
  • Possession56.6%
  • Corners6.12 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.97 corners/match
  • Fouls11.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency15%
  • Scoring frequency97%

SC Telstar

Competition
Eredivisie
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.44 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.62 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.5 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.77 xG/match
  • Shots12.8 shots/match
  • Shots allowed16.1 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.88 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed6.29 shots/match
  • Possession45.1%
  • Corners4.74 corners/match
  • Corners allowed6.32 corners/match
  • Fouls11.3 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency15%
  • Scoring frequency76%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4