NEC Nijmegen 1–2 SC Telstar · Eredivisie
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
SC Telstar won 1–2.
- Shots
- 27–8
- Shots on target
- 4–3
- Expected goals
- 2.15–1.66
- Possession
- 71%–29%
Full time
What the match recorded
SC Telstar beat NEC Nijmegen 2–1. Recorded in this match (NEC Nijmegen – SC Telstar): shots 27–8, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 2.15–1.66, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
NEC Nijmegen: 27 shots, 4 on target, 1.87 xG. SC Telstar: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.47 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: NEC Nijmegen 1.87 xG · SC Telstar 1.47 xG.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- NEC Nijmegen1 matches
- SC Telstar1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
NEC Nijmegen
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 34 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored2.26 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.56 goals/match
- Expected goals1.83 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.42 xG/match
- Shots17 shots/match
- Shots allowed11.2 shots/match
- Shots on target6.76 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.97 shots/match
- Possession56.6%
- Corners6.12 corners/match
- Corners allowed3.97 corners/match
- Fouls11.8 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency15%
- Scoring frequency97%
SC Telstar
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 34 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.44 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.62 goals/match
- Expected goals1.5 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.77 xG/match
- Shots12.8 shots/match
- Shots allowed16.1 shots/match
- Shots on target4.88 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed6.29 shots/match
- Possession45.1%
- Corners4.74 corners/match
- Corners allowed6.32 corners/match
- Fouls11.3 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency15%
- Scoring frequency76%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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