PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

SV Zulte Waregem 2–1 KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

SV Zulte Waregem won 2–1.

Shots
1110
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.510.54
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Zulte Waregem beat KRC Genk 2–1. Recorded in this match (SV Zulte Waregem – KRC Genk): shots 11–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.51–0.54, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots10 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 11 shots, KRC Genk 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 5 shots, KRC Genk 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.51 xG0.54 xGSV Zulte Waregem 0.51 xG, KRC Genk 0.54 xG
  • Possession38%62%SV Zulte Waregem 38%, KRC Genk 62%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersSV Zulte Waregem 6 corners, KRC Genk 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsSV Zulte Waregem 13 fouls, KRC Genk 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsSV Zulte Waregem 1 card, KRC Genk 4 cards
  • Passes351 passes595 passesSV Zulte Waregem 351 passes, KRC Genk 595 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.5%89.6%SV Zulte Waregem 81.5%, KRC Genk 89.6%
  • Shots inside box5 shots8 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 5 shots, KRC Genk 8 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksSV Zulte Waregem 2 blocks, KRC Genk 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesSV Zulte Waregem 2 saves, KRC Genk 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesSV Zulte Waregem 0 offsides, KRC Genk 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Thomas Claes · SV Zulte Waregem · 70′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJeppe Erenbjerg · KRC Genk · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLaurent Lemoine · SV Zulte Waregem · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Heynen · KRC Genk · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · KRC Genk · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRafiu Durosinmi · KRC Genk · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobin Mirisola · KRC Genk · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnosike Ementa · SV Zulte Waregem · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarley Aké · SV Zulte Waregem · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · KRC Genk · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarley Aké · SV Zulte Waregem · 82′ · 0.04 xG · goalSerxho Ujka · SV Zulte Waregem · 86′ · 0.04 xG · goalRobin Mirisola · KRC Genk · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTobias Hedl · SV Zulte Waregem · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarley Aké · SV Zulte Waregem · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · SV Zulte Waregem · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIstván Átrok · SV Zulte Waregem · 2′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMarley Aké · SV Zulte Waregem · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDaan Heymans · KRC Genk · 16′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRafiu Durosinmi · KRC Genk · 39′ · 0.10 xG · goalBryan Heynen · KRC Genk · 64′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SV Zulte Waregem: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.52 xG. KRC Genk: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Marley Aké · SV Zulte Waregem · 82′Serxho Ujka · SV Zulte Waregem · 86′Rafiu Durosinmi · KRC Genk · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SV Zulte Waregem 0.52 xG · KRC Genk 0.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Zulte Waregem
0Draws
4KRC Genk
SV Zulte Waregem — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League2–1
KRC Genk — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League3–2
KRC Genk — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League1–0
SV Zulte Waregem — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–4
KRC Genk — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • SV Zulte Waregem1 matches
  • KRC Genk1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

SV Zulte Waregem

Competition
Belgian Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
40 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
31 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.5 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.43 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.43 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.53 xG/match
  • Shots13 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.6 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.4 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.55 shots/match
  • Possession48.5%
  • Corners4.88 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.83 corners/match
  • Cards1.64 cards/match
  • Fouls10.9 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency23%
  • Scoring frequency80%

KRC Genk

Competition
Belgian Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
43 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
31 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.42 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.28 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.56 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.22 xG/match
  • Shots16.1 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.8 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.84 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.42 shots/match
  • Possession58%
  • Corners5.6 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.26 corners/match
  • Cards1.55 cards/match
  • Fouls10.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency23%
  • Scoring frequency79%

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSV Zulte WaregemKRC Genk
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headSV Zulte Waregem — KRC Genk
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this