Belgian Pro League · 2026

KRC Genk 3–2 KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

KRC Genk won 3–2.

Shots
2212
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
4.240.85
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

KRC Genk beat KVC Westerlo 3–2. Recorded in this match (KRC Genk – KVC Westerlo): shots 22–12, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 4.24–0.85, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots12 shotsKRC Genk 22 shots, KVC Westerlo 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsKRC Genk 7 shots, KVC Westerlo 2 shots
  • Expected goals4.24 xG0.85 xGKRC Genk 4.24 xG, KVC Westerlo 0.85 xG
  • Possession51%49%KRC Genk 51%, KVC Westerlo 49%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersKRC Genk 8 corners, KVC Westerlo 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsKRC Genk 15 fouls, KVC Westerlo 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsKRC Genk 3 cards, KVC Westerlo 3 cards
  • Passes408 passes419 passesKRC Genk 408 passes, KVC Westerlo 419 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.1%82.8%KRC Genk 85.1%, KVC Westerlo 82.8%
  • Shots inside box19 shots10 shotsKRC Genk 19 shots, KVC Westerlo 10 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks6 blocksKRC Genk 4 blocks, KVC Westerlo 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesKRC Genk 1 save, KVC Westerlo 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideKRC Genk 3 offsides, KVC Westerlo 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bryan Heynen · KRC Genk · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavid Amegnaglo · KVC Westerlo · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · KRC Genk · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDylan Ourega · KVC Westerlo · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Fofana · KVC Westerlo · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDylan Ourega · KVC Westerlo · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJunya Ito · KRC Genk · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetShunsuke Saito · KVC Westerlo · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRafiu Durosinmi · KRC Genk · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · KRC Genk · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedShunsuke Saito · KVC Westerlo · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Sory Bangoura · KRC Genk · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJunya Ito · KRC Genk · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatte Smets · KRC Genk · 65′ · 0.05 xG · on targetShunsuke Saito · KVC Westerlo · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 2′ · 0.08 xG · on targetZakaria El Ouahdi · KRC Genk · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAyumu Yokoyama · KRC Genk · 56′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBryan Heynen · KRC Genk · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBryan Heynen · KRC Genk · 65′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMatte Smets · KVC Westerlo · 13′ · 0.10 xG · goalRafiu Durosinmi · KRC Genk · 18′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBryan Heynen · KRC Genk · 43′ · 0.11 xG · goalReda Laalaoui · KVC Westerlo · 69′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRafiu Durosinmi · KRC Genk · 31′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAyumu Yokoyama · KRC Genk · 25′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDylan Ourega · KVC Westerlo · 6′ · 0.17 xG · goalBryan Heynen · KRC Genk · 47′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedNorman Bassette · KVC Westerlo · 3′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedRafiu Durosinmi · KRC Genk · 25′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Sory Bangoura · KRC Genk · 11′ · 0.65 xG · on targetZakaria El Ouahdi · KRC Genk · 25′ · 0.66 xG · off target or blockedAaron Bibout · KRC Genk · 79′ · 0.67 xG · goalRafiu Durosinmi · KRC Genk · 41′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KRC Genk: 22 shots, 7 on target, 4.35 xG. KVC Westerlo: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Rafiu Durosinmi · KRC Genk · 41′Bryan Heynen · KRC Genk · 43′Aaron Bibout · KRC Genk · 79′Dylan Ourega · KVC Westerlo · 6′Matte Smets · KVC Westerlo · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KRC Genk 4.35 xG · KVC Westerlo 0.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4KRC Genk
1Draws
0KVC Westerlo
KRC Genk — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League3–0
KVC Westerlo — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–2
KRC Genk — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League1–1
KVC Westerlo — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League0–1
KVC Westerlo — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • KRC Genk1 matches
  • KVC Westerlo1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

KRC Genk

Competition
Belgian Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
43 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
31 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.42 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.28 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.56 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.22 xG/match
  • Shots16.1 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.8 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.84 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.42 shots/match
  • Possession58%
  • Corners5.6 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.26 corners/match
  • Cards1.55 cards/match
  • Fouls10.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency23%
  • Scoring frequency79%

KVC Westerlo

Competition
Belgian Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
42 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
31 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.26 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.43 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.46 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.54 xG/match
  • Shots14.6 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.3 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.67 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.17 shots/match
  • Possession49.8%
  • Corners5.21 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5 corners/match
  • Cards1.94 cards/match
  • Fouls11.3 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency33%
  • Scoring frequency67%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4