PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2026

Como 4–1 RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League

4–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Como won 4–1.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.31.42
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Como beat RB Leipzig 4–1. Recorded in this match (Como – RB Leipzig): shots 14–14, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.3–1.42, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsComo 14 shots, RB Leipzig 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsComo 6 shots, RB Leipzig 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.3 xG1.42 xGComo 2.3 xG, RB Leipzig 1.42 xG
  • Possession50%50%Como 50%, RB Leipzig 50%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersComo 1 corner, RB Leipzig 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsComo 9 fouls, RB Leipzig 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsComo 2 cards, RB Leipzig 3 cards
  • Passes515 passes497 passesComo 515 passes, RB Leipzig 497 passes
  • Pass accuracy90.3%89.1%Como 90.3%, RB Leipzig 89.1%
  • Shots inside box10 shots8 shotsComo 10 shots, RB Leipzig 8 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksComo 2 blocks, RB Leipzig 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesComo 3 saves, RB Leipzig 2 saves
  • Offsides5 offsides1 offsideComo 5 offsides, RB Leipzig 1 offside

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Como4-2-3-1
  1. Jean ButezG
  2. Álex ValleD
  3. Jacobo RamónD
  4. Yan CoutoD
  5. Trevoh ChalobahD
  6. Máximo PerroneM
  7. Lucas Da CunhaM
  8. Nico PazM
  9. Anastasios DouvikasF
  10. Assane DiaoF
  11. Martin BaturinaF
RB Leipzig4-3-3
  1. Maarten VandevoordtG
  2. Maxime EstèveD
  3. Willi OrbánD
  4. Ridle BakuD
  5. David RaumD
  6. Ezechiel BanzuziM
  7. Nicolas SeiwaldM
  8. Neil El AynaouiM
  9. Antonio NusaF
  10. Johan BakayokoF
  11. Christopher NkunkuF

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Como1 matches
  • RB Leipzig1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

These two clubs played in different competitions last season, so the values are shown side by side without ranking them against each other.

Como

Competition
Serie A
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.71 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.76 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.63 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed0.89 xG/match
  • Shots14.4 shots/match
  • Shots allowed8.97 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.11 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.11 shots/match
  • Possession61.6%
  • Corners4.47 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.21 corners/match
  • Cards2.27 cards/match
  • Fouls13.3 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency50%
  • Scoring frequency76%

RB Leipzig

Competition
UEFA Champions League
Season
2024/25
Sample
8 matches
Profile grade
B
Data cutoff
31 May 2025
  • Goals scored1 goal/match
  • Goals allowed1.88 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.55 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.59 xG/match
  • Shots12.9 shots/match
  • Shots allowed16 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.63 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.13 shots/match
  • Possession47.5%
  • Corners5.25 corners/match
  • Corners allowed6.13 corners/match
  • Fouls11 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency0%
  • Scoring frequency63%

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 10 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsComoRB Leipzig
CompetitionUEFA Champions League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this