PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

Sint-Truidense VV 0–2 KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

KVC Westerlo won 0–2.

Shots
1718
Shots on target
38
Expected goals
21.87
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

KVC Westerlo beat Sint-Truidense VV 2–0. Recorded in this match (Sint-Truidense VV – KVC Westerlo): shots 17–18, shots on target 3–8, expected goals 2–1.87, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sint-Truidense VV show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sint-Truidense VV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSint-Truidense VV · KVC Westerlo15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSint-Truidense VVKVC WesterloBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match15.1 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match14.9 shots/match14.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots18 shotsSint-Truidense VV 17 shots, KVC Westerlo 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots8 shotsSint-Truidense VV 3 shots, KVC Westerlo 8 shots
  • Expected goals2 xG1.87 xGSint-Truidense VV 2 xG, KVC Westerlo 1.87 xG
  • Possession52%48%Sint-Truidense VV 52%, KVC Westerlo 48%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersSint-Truidense VV 6 corners, KVC Westerlo 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsSint-Truidense VV 11 fouls, KVC Westerlo 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardSint-Truidense VV 1 card, KVC Westerlo 1 card
  • Passes465 passes454 passesSint-Truidense VV 465 passes, KVC Westerlo 454 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.3%83.7%Sint-Truidense VV 84.3%, KVC Westerlo 83.7%
  • Shots inside box14 shots12 shotsSint-Truidense VV 14 shots, KVC Westerlo 12 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks5 blocksSint-Truidense VV 3 blocks, KVC Westerlo 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves3 savesSint-Truidense VV 6 saves, KVC Westerlo 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesSint-Truidense VV 1 offside, KVC Westerlo 0 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cameron Congreve · KVC Westerlo · 2′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSamed Baždar · Sint-Truidense VV · 1′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRobert-Jan Vanwesemael · Sint-Truidense VV · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathanaël Mbuku · Sint-Truidense VV · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathanaël Mbuku · Sint-Truidense VV · 81′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIbrahim Fofana · KVC Westerlo · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedShunsuke Saito · KVC Westerlo · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Sissako · Sint-Truidense VV · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · Sint-Truidense VV · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCisse Sandra · KVC Westerlo · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 30′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNorman Bassette · KVC Westerlo · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCameron Congreve · KVC Westerlo · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCisse Sandra · KVC Westerlo · 46′ · 0.05 xG · goalCisse Sandra · KVC Westerlo · 28′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNathanaël Mbuku · Sint-Truidense VV · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCameron Congreve · KVC Westerlo · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCameron Congreve · KVC Westerlo · 14′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSamed Baždar · Sint-Truidense VV · 87′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · Sint-Truidense VV · 20′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOumar Diouf · Sint-Truidense VV · 88′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDylan Ourega · KVC Westerlo · 40′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKaito Matsuzawa · Sint-Truidense VV · 57′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNorman Bassette · KVC Westerlo · 69′ · 0.11 xG · on targetIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 39′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNorman Bassette · KVC Westerlo · 68′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Araki · Sint-Truidense VV · 53′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedNikola Storm · KVC Westerlo · 73′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedOumar Diouf · Sint-Truidense VV · 88′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Araki · Sint-Truidense VV · 20′ · 0.19 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Sissako · Sint-Truidense VV · 20′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedCameron Congreve · KVC Westerlo · 56′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedSamed Baždar · Sint-Truidense VV · 53′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedNorman Bassette · KVC Westerlo · 36′ · 0.41 xG · goalNathanaël Mbuku · Sint-Truidense VV · 83′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sint-Truidense VV: 17 shots, 3 on target, 2.17 xG. KVC Westerlo: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Norman Bassette · KVC Westerlo · 36′Cisse Sandra · KVC Westerlo · 46′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sint-Truidense VV 2.17 xG · KVC Westerlo 1.91 xG.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Sint-Truidense VV
  1. Léo KokuboG
  2. Taiga HataD
  3. Shogo TaniguchiD
  4. Visar MusliuD
  5. Robert-Jan VanwesemaelD
  6. Abdoulaye SissakoM
  7. Ryan MerlenM
  8. Ryotaro ArakiM
  9. Samed BaždarF
  10. Ilias SebaouiF
  11. Kaito MatsuzawaF
KVC Westerlo
  1. Andreas JungdalG
  2. Lasse FløD
  3. Amando LapageD
  4. Seiji KimuraD
  5. Dylan OuregaD
  6. Isa SakamotoM
  7. Cisse SandraM
  8. Ibrahim FofanaM
  9. Shunsuke SaitoF
  10. Norman BassetteF
  11. Cameron CongreveF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Sint-Truidense VV
1Draws
1KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League0–4
Sint-Truidense VV — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League0–3
KVC Westerlo — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League1–2
Sint-Truidense VV — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League2–0
KVC Westerlo — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sint-Truidense VV favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · KVC Westerlo in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sint-Truidense VV7 matchesKVC Westerlo7 matches
1.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.14 goals/match
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.29 goals/match
1.91 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.45 xG/match
17.3 shots/match ▲Shots7/715.1 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.29 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession7/749.9%
5 corners/match ●Corners7/73.57 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls7/712.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSint-Truidense VVKVC Westerlo
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headSint-Truidense VV — KVC Westerlo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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