League One · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
32Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCambridge UnitedWigan Athletic
Shots17 shots18 shots
Shots on target6 shots 4 shots
Expected goals1.92 xG2.72 xG
Possession34%66%
Corners8 corners 5 corners
Fouls9 fouls8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Connor Barrett · Wigan Athletic · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMax Power · Wigan Athletic · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJensen Weir · Wigan Athletic · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMax Power · Wigan Athletic · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKell Watts · Cambridge United · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFraser Murray · Wigan Athletic · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Jobe · Cambridge United · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBen Knight · Cambridge United · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSonny Perkins · Wigan Athletic · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJensen Weir · Wigan Athletic · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Fox · Wigan Athletic · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedZak Bradshaw · Cambridge United · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDominic Ball · Cambridge United · 15′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBen Knight · Cambridge United · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKell Watts · Cambridge United · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDara Costelloe · Wigan Athletic · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMax Power · Wigan Athletic · 27′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAkeel Higgins · Wigan Athletic · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDominic Ball · Cambridge United · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSonny Perkins · Wigan Athletic · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedK'Marni Miller · Wigan Athletic · 63′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSonny Perkins · Wigan Athletic · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedZak Bradshaw · Cambridge United · 2′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Jobe · Cambridge United · 17′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKell Watts · Cambridge United · 3′ · 0.11 xG · goalLouis Appéré · Cambridge United · 34′ · 0.14 xG · goalSonny Perkins · Wigan Athletic · 29′ · 0.15 xG · on targetShane McLoughlin · Cambridge United · 52′ · 0.16 xG · on targetDominic Ball · Cambridge United · 85′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Jobe · Cambridge United · 85′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSonny Perkins · Wigan Athletic · 69′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Heath · Cambridge United · 52′ · 0.61 xG · goalIsaac Heath · Cambridge United · 52′ · 0.75 xG · off target or blockedAkeel Higgins · Wigan Athletic · 73′ · 0.77 xG · goalSonny Perkins · Wigan Athletic · 69′ · 0.97 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cambridge United: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.56 xG. Wigan Athletic: 18 shots, 4 on target, 2.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Kell Watts · Cambridge United · 3′Louis Appéré · Cambridge United · 34′Isaac Heath · Cambridge United · 52′Sonny Perkins · Wigan Athletic · 69′Akeel Higgins · Wigan Athletic · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cambridge United 2.56 xG · Wigan Athletic 2.79 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Cambridge United beat Wigan Athletic 3–2. Recorded in this match (Cambridge United – Wigan Athletic): shots 17–18, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.92–2.72, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4