League One · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
21Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMansfield TownDoncaster Rovers
Shots18 shots 9 shots
Shots on target4 shots4 shots
Expected goals1.12 xG 1.11 xG
Possession54% 46%
Corners7 corners 1 corner
Fouls9 fouls10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Frazer Blake-Tracy · Mansfield Town · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedElliott Hewitt · Mansfield Town · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Hutchinson · Doncaster Rovers · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLouis Reed · Mansfield Town · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJon Russell · Mansfield Town · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJon Russell · Mansfield Town · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Hutchinson · Doncaster Rovers · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobbie Gotts · Doncaster Rovers · 35′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLouis Reed · Mansfield Town · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStephen McLaughlin · Mansfield Town · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Hutchinson · Doncaster Rovers · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFrazer Blake-Tracy · Mansfield Town · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichael Smith · Mansfield Town · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Maris · Mansfield Town · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlfie May · Doncaster Rovers · 25′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAlfie May · Doncaster Rovers · 47′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRhys Oates · Mansfield Town · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLouis Reed · Mansfield Town · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLouis Reed · Mansfield Town · 72′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRhys Oates · Mansfield Town · 26′ · 0.08 xG · goalLouis Reed · Mansfield Town · 74′ · 0.08 xG · goalLucas Akins · Mansfield Town · 18′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlfie May · Doncaster Rovers · 33′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLucas Akins · Mansfield Town · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLucas Akins · Mansfield Town · 53′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Hanlan · Doncaster Rovers · 59′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedJack Senior · Doncaster Rovers · 49′ · 0.46 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Mansfield Town: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.13 xG. Doncaster Rovers: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Rhys Oates · Mansfield Town · 26′Louis Reed · Mansfield Town · 74′Jack Senior · Doncaster Rovers · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Mansfield Town 1.13 xG · Doncaster Rovers 1.10 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Mansfield Town beat Doncaster Rovers 2–1. Recorded in this match (Mansfield Town – Doncaster Rovers): shots 18–9, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.12–1.11, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

1Mansfield Town
0Draws
1Doncaster Rovers
Doncaster RoversMansfield Town · League One02
Mansfield TownDoncaster Rovers · League One12

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4