PitchMath
UEFA Conference League · 2026

Qarabag 1–2 FC Twente · UEFA Conference League

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Twente won 1–2.

Shots
929
Shots on target
110
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Twente beat Qarabag 2–1. Recorded in this match (Qarabag – FC Twente): shots 9–29, shots on target 1–10, possession 39%–61%, corners 0–9. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Twente show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricQarabagFC TwenteBaseline
Shots—24.7 shots/match19.3 shots/match
Shots against—11.7 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

FC Twente have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.7%PossessionQarabag · FC Twente● 60.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricQarabagFC TwenteBaseline
Possession50.7%60.3%47.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots29 shotsQarabag 9 shots, FC Twente 29 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot10 shotsQarabag 1 shot, FC Twente 10 shots
  • Possession39%61%Qarabag 39%, FC Twente 61%
  • Corners0 corners9 cornersQarabag 0 corners, FC Twente 9 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls16 foulsQarabag 21 fouls, FC Twente 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards6 cards3 cardsQarabag 6 cards, FC Twente 3 cards
  • Passes426 passes647 passesQarabag 426 passes, FC Twente 647 passes
  • Pass accuracy75.6%84.5%Qarabag 75.6%, FC Twente 84.5%
  • Shots inside box5 shots18 shotsQarabag 5 shots, FC Twente 18 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks11 blocksQarabag 4 blocks, FC Twente 11 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves0 savesQarabag 5 saves, FC Twente 0 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesQarabag 2 offsides, FC Twente 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Qarabag
0Draws
0FC Twente
FC Twente — Qarabag · UEFA Conference League0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Qarabag favored in 0 of 7 directional metrics · FC Twente in 0 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Qarabag3 matchesFC Twente3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 1.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
2 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 9 shots/match
50.7%Possession3/3● 60.3%
1.33 corners/matchCorners3/3● 8.67 corners/match
8.67 fouls/matchFouls3/313.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 27 Aug 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Conference League

Goals per match rankingShots on target per match rankingShare of matches scored in ranking
TeamsQarabagFC Twente
CompetitionUEFA Conference League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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