PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

FCV Dender 1–0 Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FCV Dender won 1–0.

Shots
107
Shots on target
10
Expected goals
1.170.54
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

FCV Dender beat Royal Antwerp FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (FCV Dender – Royal Antwerp FC): shots 10–7, shots on target 1–0, expected goals 1.17–0.54, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

weak

FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.81 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Royal Antwerp FC have a visible away split

moderate

Royal Antwerp FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.45 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.45 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots7 shotsFCV Dender 10 shots, Royal Antwerp FC 7 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot0 shotsFCV Dender 1 shot, Royal Antwerp FC 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.17 xG0.54 xGFCV Dender 1.17 xG, Royal Antwerp FC 0.54 xG
  • Possession48%52%FCV Dender 48%, Royal Antwerp FC 52%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersFCV Dender 2 corners, Royal Antwerp FC 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsFCV Dender 14 fouls, Royal Antwerp FC 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Anthony Valencia · Royal Antwerp FC · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMalcolm Viltard · FCV Dender · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThibo Somers · Royal Antwerp FC · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarwan Al-Sahafi · Royal Antwerp FC · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoman Kvet · FCV Dender · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVincent Janssen · Royal Antwerp FC · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVincent Janssen · Royal Antwerp FC · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGerard Vandeplas · Royal Antwerp FC · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 17′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuc Marijnissen · FCV Dender · 41′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRoman Kvet · FCV Dender · 17′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 50′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMarwan Al-Sahafi · Royal Antwerp FC · 4′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedRoman Kvet · FCV Dender · 32′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FCV Dender: 10 shots, 1 on target, 1.16 xG. Royal Antwerp FC: 7 shots, 0 on target, 0.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Roman Kvet · FCV Dender · 32′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FCV Dender 1.16 xG · Royal Antwerp FC 0.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FCV Dender
1Draws
1Royal Antwerp FC
Royal Antwerp FC — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League1–2
FCV Dender — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League1–3
Royal Antwerp FC — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FCV Dender favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Royal Antwerp FC in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FCV Dender21 matchesRoyal Antwerp FC23 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored21/23▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed21/23▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.18 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots21/23▲ 11.6 shots/match
3.76 shots/matchShots on target21/23▲ 4.09 shots/match
47%Possession21/23● 47.5%
3.14 corners/matchCorners21/23● 4.13 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls21/2312.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFCV DenderRoyal Antwerp FC
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headFCV Dender — Royal Antwerp FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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