PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025

AVS - Futebol SAD 0–1 Famalicão · Primeira Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Famalicão won 0–1.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.540.9
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Famalicão beat AVS - Futebol SAD 1–0. Recorded in this match (AVS - Futebol SAD – Famalicão): shots 13–11, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.54–0.9, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Famalicão have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.8%PossessionAVS - Futebol SAD · Famalicão● 50.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAVS - Futebol SADFamalicãoBaseline
Possession41.8%50.4%45.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 13 shots, Famalicão 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 3 shots, Famalicão 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.54 xG0.9 xGAVS - Futebol SAD 0.54 xG, Famalicão 0.9 xG
  • Possession45%55%AVS - Futebol SAD 45%, Famalicão 55%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersAVS - Futebol SAD 5 corners, Famalicão 9 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls18 foulsAVS - Futebol SAD 16 fouls, Famalicão 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAderllan Santos · AVS - Futebol SAD · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAderllan Santos · AVS - Futebol SAD · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Rivas · AVS - Futebol SAD · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSimon Elisor · Famalicão · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathias De Amorim · Famalicão · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAderllan Santos · AVS - Futebol SAD · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSimon Elisor · Famalicão · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNenê · AVS - Futebol SAD · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSorriso · Famalicão · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Rivas · AVS - Futebol SAD · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Bondo · Famalicão · 35′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAderllan Santos · AVS - Futebol SAD · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSorriso · Famalicão · 7′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAderllan Santos · AVS - Futebol SAD · 59′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNenê · AVS - Futebol SAD · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Pinheiro · Famalicão · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSimon Elisor · Famalicão · 14′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDiego Duarte · AVS - Futebol SAD · 33′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPedro Santos · Famalicão · 23′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJustin De Haas · Famalicão · 70′ · 0.12 xG · goalDiego Duarte · AVS - Futebol SAD · 73′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Sá · Famalicão · 5′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AVS - Futebol SAD: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.66 xG. Famalicão: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Justin De Haas · Famalicão · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AVS - Futebol SAD 0.66 xG · Famalicão 0.80 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0AVS - Futebol SAD
0Draws
2Famalicão
Famalicão — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga4–1
AVS - Futebol SAD — Famalicão · Primeira Liga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AVS - Futebol SAD favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Famalicão in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AVS - Futebol SAD4 matchesFamalicão5 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/5▲ 0 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.83 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots4/510.6 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲ 3.4 shots/match
41.8%Possession4/5● 50.4%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/5● 5.8 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls4/518.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAVS - Futebol SADFamalicão
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headAVS - Futebol SAD — Famalicão
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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