PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Lille 1–0 Montpellier · Ligue 1

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 1–0.

Shots
157
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.180.26
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat Montpellier 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lille – Montpellier): shots 15–7, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.18–0.26, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Lille have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.3% ●PossessionLille · Montpellier46.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLilleMontpellierBaseline
Possession62.3%46.3%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsLille 15 shots, Montpellier 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsLille 6 shots, Montpellier 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG0.26 xGLille 1.18 xG, Montpellier 0.26 xG
  • Possession60%40%Lille 60%, Montpellier 40%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersLille 5 corners, Montpellier 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsLille 15 fouls, Montpellier 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joris Chotard · Montpellier · 10′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGabriel Gudmundsson · Lille · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTiago Santos · Lille · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Yazıcı · Lille · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Montpellier · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKelvin Yeboah · Montpellier · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYusuf Yazıcı · Lille · 2′ · 0.04 xG · goalBenjamin André · Lille · 59′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAngel Gomes · Lille · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Nordin · Montpellier · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 3′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMousa Tamari · Montpellier · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTiago Santos · Lille · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIvan Cavaleiro · Lille · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIvan Cavaleiro · Lille · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Montpellier · 80′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 35′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAngel Gomes · Lille · 55′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJonathan David · Lille · 7′ · 0.17 xG · on targetRémy Cabella · Lille · 45′ · 0.25 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.16 xG. Montpellier: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Yusuf Yazıcı · Lille · 2′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 1.16 xG · Montpellier 0.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Lille
0Draws
0Montpellier
Lille — Montpellier · Ligue 12–1
Montpellier — Lille · Ligue 11–3
Montpellier — Lille · Ligue 10–1
Lille — Montpellier · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Montpellier in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille4 matchesMontpellier4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.44 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/413.8 shots/match
6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/45 shots/match
62.3% ●Possession4/446.3%
5.75 corners/match ●Corners4/44 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleMontpellier
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headLille — Montpellier
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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