PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Stade Brestois 1–0 Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 1–0.

Shots
276
Shots on target
113
Expected goals
2.440.4
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois beat Olympique Lyonnais 1–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois – Olympique Lyonnais): shots 27–6, shots on target 11–3, expected goals 2.44–0.4, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Stade Brestois's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Brestois · Olympique Lyonnais14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade BrestoisOlympique LyonnaisBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match14 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match16.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Stade Brestois's recent record differs from the season

weak

Stade Brestois's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.33 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Olympique Lyonnais have a visible away split

weak

Olympique Lyonnais's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match14 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots6 shotsStade Brestois 27 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 6 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots3 shotsStade Brestois 11 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.44 xG0.4 xGStade Brestois 2.44 xG, Olympique Lyonnais 0.4 xG
  • Possession57%43%Stade Brestois 57%, Olympique Lyonnais 43%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerStade Brestois 10 corners, Olympique Lyonnais 1 corner
  • Fouls17 fouls16 foulsStade Brestois 17 fouls, Olympique Lyonnais 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tino Kadewere · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 30′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · Stade Brestois · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBillal Brahimi · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMama Baldé · Olympique Lyonnais · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSteve Mounié · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Le Douaron · Stade Brestois · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 3′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Le Douaron · Stade Brestois · 24′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMartín Satriano · Stade Brestois · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJonas Martin · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 14′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · Stade Brestois · 87′ · 0.08 xG · goalAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 74′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMartín Satriano · Stade Brestois · 5′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJérémy Le Douaron · Stade Brestois · 35′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJérémy Le Douaron · Stade Brestois · 55′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois · 18′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 35′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 21′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAinsley Maitland-Niles · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetJérémy Le Douaron · Stade Brestois · 7′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Le Douaron · Stade Brestois · 61′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois: 27 shots, 11 on target, 2.51 xG. Olympique Lyonnais: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Steve Mounié · Stade Brestois · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 2.51 xG · Olympique Lyonnais 0.41 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stade Brestois
2Draws
1Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–0
Stade Brestois — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 12–4
Stade Brestois — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 12–1
Olympique Lyonnais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique Lyonnais in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois6 matchesOlympique Lyonnais6 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.5 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.08 xG/match
16.8 shots/match ▲Shots6/614 shots/match
6.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/64.83 shots/match
50.2%Possession6/650.2%
7.33 corners/match ●Corners6/64.33 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls6/613.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade BrestoisOlympique Lyonnais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headStade Brestois — Olympique Lyonnais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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