PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Stade Rennais 1–1 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais and RC Strasbourg drew 1–1.

Shots
2011
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.140.96
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Rennais and RC Strasbourg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Stade Rennais – RC Strasbourg): shots 20–11, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.14–0.96, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.9 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Strasbourg have a visible away split

moderate

RC Strasbourg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season8.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6 shots/match8.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

RC Strasbourg show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

RC Strasbourg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Rennais · RC Strasbourg8.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade RennaisRC StrasbourgBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match8.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match13.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots11 shotsStade Rennais 20 shots, RC Strasbourg 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsStade Rennais 3 shots, RC Strasbourg 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.14 xG0.96 xGStade Rennais 1.14 xG, RC Strasbourg 0.96 xG
  • Possession61%39%Stade Rennais 61%, RC Strasbourg 39%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersStade Rennais 7 corners, RC Strasbourg 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsStade Rennais 14 fouls, RC Strasbourg 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Frédéric Guilbert · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedThomas Delaine · RC Strasbourg · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Truffert · Stade Rennais · 23′ · 0.02 xG · goalKévin Gameiro · RC Strasbourg · 81′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGuéla Doué · Stade Rennais · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÂngelo · RC Strasbourg · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKévin Gameiro · RC Strasbourg · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Stade Rennais · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Salah · Stade Rennais · 89′ · 0.04 xG · on targetArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLebo Mothiba · RC Strasbourg · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 63′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGuéla Doué · Stade Rennais · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 7′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Stade Rennais · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLucas Perrin · RC Strasbourg · 80′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 19′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMoïse Sahi Dion · RC Strasbourg · 4′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 40′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedWarmed Omari · Stade Rennais · 74′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedWarmed Omari · Stade Rennais · 83′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLebo Mothiba · RC Strasbourg · 81′ · 0.53 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Rennais: 20 shots, 3 on target, 1.09 xG. RC Strasbourg: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Adrien Truffert · Stade Rennais · 23′Lebo Mothiba · RC Strasbourg · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Rennais 1.09 xG · RC Strasbourg 0.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Stade Rennais
0Draws
1RC Strasbourg
Stade Rennais — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 13–0
RC Strasbourg — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–3
RC Strasbourg — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–1
Stade Rennais — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais10 matchesRC Strasbourg10 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
1.62 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.05 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots10/108.2 shots/match
5.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/102.3 shots/match
57.4% ●Possession10/1040.2%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners10/102.8 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Oct 2023, 20:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headStade Rennais — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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