PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Nantes 1–3 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

Nantes

WLWLL
1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Strasbourg won 1–3.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
1.121.95
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Strasbourg beat Nantes 3–1. Recorded in this match (Nantes – RC Strasbourg): shots 11–11, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.12–1.95, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsNantes 11 shots, RC Strasbourg 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsNantes 2 shots, RC Strasbourg 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG1.95 xGNantes 1.12 xG, RC Strasbourg 1.95 xG
  • Possession64%36%Nantes 64%, RC Strasbourg 36%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersNantes 4 corners, RC Strasbourg 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsNantes 16 fouls, RC Strasbourg 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Frédéric Guilbert · RC Strasbourg · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThomas Delaine · RC Strasbourg · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Chirivella · Nantes · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 62′ · 0.05 xG · goalMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPedro Chirivella · Nantes · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJean-Charles Castelletto · Nantes · 44′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRabby Nzingoula · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 61′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 13′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSaïdou Sow · RC Strasbourg · 62′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedEray Cömert · Nantes · 35′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 45′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 8′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedEray Cömert · Nantes · 35′ · 0.20 xG · goalKévin Gameiro · RC Strasbourg · 3′ · 0.50 xG · goalEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 78′ · 0.95 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.14 xG. RC Strasbourg: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Eray Cömert · Nantes · 35′Kévin Gameiro · RC Strasbourg · 3′Emmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 62′Emmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 1.14 xG · RC Strasbourg 1.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nantes
2Draws
2RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Nantes · Ligue 11–2
Nantes — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–2
RC Strasbourg — Nantes · Ligue 11–1
RC Strasbourg — Nantes · Ligue 11–0
Nantes — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes26 matchesRC Strasbourg26 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.5 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.22 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots26/2611 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.58 shots/match
45.8% ●Possession26/2642.3%
5.15 corners/match ●Corners26/263.54 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls26/2614 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNantesRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headNantes — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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