PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Stade Rennais 2–0 Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais won 2–0.

Shots
78
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.360.74
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Rennais beat Olympique de Marseille 2–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Rennais – Olympique de Marseille): shots 7–8, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.36–0.74, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympique de Marseille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique de Marseille's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots8 shotsStade Rennais 7 shots, Olympique de Marseille 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotStade Rennais 4 shots, Olympique de Marseille 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.36 xG0.74 xGStade Rennais 1.36 xG, Olympique de Marseille 0.74 xG
  • Possession43%57%Stade Rennais 43%, Olympique de Marseille 57%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersStade Rennais 4 corners, Olympique de Marseille 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsStade Rennais 9 fouls, Olympique de Marseille 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ludovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 20′ · 0.02 xG · on targetQuentin Merlin · Olympique de Marseille · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartin Terrier · Stade Rennais · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuéla Doué · Stade Rennais · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJonathan Clauss · Olympique de Marseille · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmine Harit · Olympique de Marseille · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Stade Rennais · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 25′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAmine Harit · Olympique de Marseille · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIliman Ndiaye · Olympique de Marseille · 35′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 71′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 27′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMartin Terrier · Stade Rennais · 21′ · 0.22 xG · goalFaris Pemi Moumbagna · Olympique de Marseille · 71′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 78′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Rennais: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.37 xG. Olympique de Marseille: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.74 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Martin Terrier · Stade Rennais · 21′Benjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Rennais 1.37 xG · Olympique de Marseille 0.74 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stade Rennais
1Draws
3Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–0
Stade Rennais — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–1
Olympique de Marseille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1
Stade Rennais — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–0
Olympique de Marseille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais26 matchesOlympique de Marseille26 matches
1.54 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.54 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.62 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots26/2613.7 shots/match
4.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/264.46 shots/match
50.9%Possession26/26● 54.2%
4.38 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.58 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls26/2611 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Mar 2024, 20:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisOlympique de Marseille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headStade Rennais — Olympique de Marseille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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