PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Olympique de Marseille 3–1 Lorient · Ligue 1

3–1Historical match

Lorient

LLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 3–1.

Shots
1314
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
2.681.46
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique de Marseille beat Lorient 3–1. Recorded in this match (Olympique de Marseille – Lorient): shots 13–14, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 2.68–1.46, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lorient's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lorient's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Olympique de Marseille show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Olympique de Marseille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsOlympique de Marseille · Lorient10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleLorientBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match10.2 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots14 shotsOlympique de Marseille 13 shots, Lorient 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsOlympique de Marseille 4 shots, Lorient 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.68 xG1.46 xGOlympique de Marseille 2.68 xG, Lorient 1.46 xG
  • Possession58%42%Olympique de Marseille 58%, Lorient 42%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersOlympique de Marseille 9 corners, Lorient 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsOlympique de Marseille 9 fouls, Lorient 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Panos Katseris · Lorient · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Mendy · Lorient · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAiyegun Tosin · Lorient · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedUlisses Garcia · Olympique de Marseille · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLaurent Abergel · Lorient · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLaurent Abergel · Lorient · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBenjamin Mendy · Lorient · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bamba · Lorient · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChancel Mbemba · Olympique de Marseille · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedImrân Louza · Lorient · 23′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJean Onana · Olympique de Marseille · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFaris Pemi Moumbagna · Olympique de Marseille · 13′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFaris Pemi Moumbagna · Olympique de Marseille · 7′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJordan Veretout · Olympique de Marseille · 39′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJulien Laporte · Lorient · 80′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPanos Katseris · Lorient · 27′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Mendy · Lorient · 43′ · 0.18 xG · goalPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 19′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedBadredine Bouanani · Lorient · 88′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Gigot · Olympique de Marseille · 41′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Gigot · Olympique de Marseille · 41′ · 0.32 xG · goalPanos Katseris · Lorient · 64′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 36′ · 0.53 xG · goalPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 54′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympique de Marseille: 13 shots, 4 on target, 2.70 xG. Lorient: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 36′Samuel Gigot · Olympique de Marseille · 41′Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 54′Benjamin Mendy · Lorient · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique de Marseille 2.70 xG · Lorient 1.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Olympique de Marseille
1Draws
0Lorient
Lorient — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–4
Lorient — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–0
Olympique de Marseille — Lorient · Ligue 13–1
Lorient — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–3
Olympique de Marseille — Lorient · Ligue 14–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Lorient in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille32 matchesLorient33 matches
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/331.15 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/332 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/331.01 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots32/3310.2 shots/match
4.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/324 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession32/3346.3%
5.34 corners/match ●Corners32/333.82 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls32/3311.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleLorient
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — Lorient
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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