Toulouse
Ligue 1 · 2024Toulouse 1–3 Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1
A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.
Match at a glance
Olympique de Marseille won 1–3.
- Shots
- 3–12
- Shots on target
- 1–4
- Expected goals
- 0.99–0.84
- Possession
- 24%–76%
Full time
What the match recorded
Olympique de Marseille beat Toulouse 3–1. Recorded in this match (Toulouse – Olympique de Marseille): shots 3–12, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.99–0.84, possession 24%–76%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Toulouse show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakToulouse's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Toulouse | Olympique de Marseille | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 10 shots/match | 13.3 shots/match | 12.2 shots/match |
| Shots against | 11 shots/match | 8.67 shots/match | 12.7 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
weakOlympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 24.0 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Toulouse | Olympique de Marseille | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 40% | 64% | 47.8% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Toulouse favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 0 · 11 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Toulouse / Olympique de Marseille
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
- The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
More football
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