Ligue 1 · 2024Sun, 15 Sept 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeHistorical match

Toulouse

DDL

2–0Historical match

Le Havre

LWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Toulouse	Le Havre
Shots	15 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.32 xG/match▲	0.21 xG/match
Possession	54%●	46%
Corners	6 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Toulouse: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.32 xG. Le Havre: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Toulouse 1.32 xG · Le Havre 0.21 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Le Havre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Le Havre show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Le Havre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match▲ShotsToulouse · Le Havre11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Toulouse	Le Havre	Baseline
Shots	11.3 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	11.6 shots/match
Shots against	9.5 shots/match	14 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Toulouse

0Draws

2Le Havre

10 Mar 2024Le Havre — Toulouse · Ligue 11–0

5 Nov 2023Toulouse — Le Havre · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Toulouse favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Le Havre in 0 · 13 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.75 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.39 xG/match

0.7 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.47 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411.5 shots/match

9.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/414 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.5 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/46.25 shots/match

43.5%●Possessionseason · 4/440%

5.5 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/43.25 corners/match

4.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/410.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Toulouse19.4

Le Havre8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Toulouse29.6

Le Havre49.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Toulouse76.8

Le Havre27.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Toulouse58.3

Le Havre80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Toulouse77.8

Le Havre13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Toulouse77.8

Le Havre19.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Toulouse53.5

Le Havre30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Toulouse4 matchesLe Havre4 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.5 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.39 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots4/411.5 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.5 shots/match

43.5%●Possession4/440%

5.5 corners/match●Corners4/43.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls4/410.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Toulouse3 matchesLe Havre2 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

1.34 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

10 shots/matchShots3/2—

4.67 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

44%Possession3/2—

6 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Sept 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4