PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Stade Brestois 2–0 Le Havre · Ligue 1

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 2–0.

Shots
814
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.751.06
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois beat Le Havre 2–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois – Le Havre): shots 8–14, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.75–1.06, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Brestois's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Brestois have a visible home split

weak

Stade Brestois's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots14 shotsStade Brestois 8 shots, Le Havre 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotStade Brestois 3 shots, Le Havre 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.75 xG1.06 xGStade Brestois 0.75 xG, Le Havre 1.06 xG
  • Possession54%46%Stade Brestois 54%, Le Havre 46%
  • Corners1 corner9 cornersStade Brestois 1 corner, Le Havre 9 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls11 foulsStade Brestois 19 fouls, Le Havre 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Christopher Operi · Le Havre · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGautier Lloris · Le Havre · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIbrahim Salah · Stade Brestois · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÉtienne Youte Kinkoue · Le Havre · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Operi · Le Havre · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Salah · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIlyes Housni · Le Havre · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Ndiaye · Stade Brestois · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 33′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Sabbi · Le Havre · 71′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 39′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGautier Lloris · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedÉtienne Youte Kinkoue · Le Havre · 28′ · 0.20 xG · on targetLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 12′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.74 xG. Le Havre: 14 shots, 1 on target, 1.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ludovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 12′Ibrahim Salah · Stade Brestois · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 0.74 xG · Le Havre 1.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Stade Brestois
0Draws
0Le Havre
Stade Brestois — Le Havre · Ligue 11–0
Le Havre — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois7 matchesLe Havre7 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.14 goals/match
1.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.09 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots7/710.7 shots/match
4.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.57 shots/match
48.1% ●Possession7/740.3%
3.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 3.86 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls7/711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade BrestoisLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headStade Brestois — Le Havre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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