PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Toulouse 1–0 Stade de Reims · Ligue 1

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Toulouse won 1–0.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
0.881.09
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Toulouse beat Stade de Reims 1–0. Recorded in this match (Toulouse – Stade de Reims): shots 13–13, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 0.88–1.09, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Toulouse's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Toulouse's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade de Reims have a visible away split

moderate

Stade de Reims's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Stade de Reims show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Stade de Reims's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsToulouse · Stade de Reims12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricToulouseStade de ReimsBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against9 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsToulouse 13 shots, Stade de Reims 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsToulouse 6 shots, Stade de Reims 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG1.09 xGToulouse 0.88 xG, Stade de Reims 1.09 xG
  • Possession51%49%Toulouse 51%, Stade de Reims 49%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersToulouse 6 corners, Stade de Reims 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsToulouse 16 fouls, Stade de Reims 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joseph Okumu · Stade de Reims · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSergio Akieme · Stade de Reims · 19′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAmadou Koné · Stade de Reims · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Agbadou · Stade de Reims · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedZakaria Aboukhlal · Toulouse · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedValentin Atangana Edoa · Stade de Reims · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAron Dønnum · Toulouse · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYaya Fofana · Stade de Reims · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Koné · Stade de Reims · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVincent Sierro · Toulouse · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunya Ito · Stade de Reims · 33′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJunya Ito · Stade de Reims · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedZakaria Aboukhlal · Toulouse · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetZakaria Aboukhlal · Toulouse · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedZakaria Aboukhlal · Toulouse · 67′ · 0.05 xG · on targetZakaria Aboukhlal · Toulouse · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJoshua King · Toulouse · 21′ · 0.08 xG · on targetOumar Diakité · Stade de Reims · 18′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetCédric Kipré · Stade de Reims · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJoshua King · Toulouse · 45′ · 0.11 xG · on targetWaren Kamanzi · Toulouse · 48′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedZakaria Aboukhlal · Toulouse · 84′ · 0.19 xG · goalKeito Nakamura · Stade de Reims · 81′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedOumar Diakité · Stade de Reims · 74′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Toulouse: 13 shots, 6 on target, 0.90 xG. Stade de Reims: 13 shots, 2 on target, 1.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Zakaria Aboukhlal · Toulouse · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Toulouse 0.90 xG · Stade de Reims 1.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Toulouse
1Draws
1Stade de Reims
Stade de Reims — Toulouse · Ligue 12–3
Toulouse — Stade de Reims · Ligue 11–1
Stade de Reims — Toulouse · Ligue 13–0
Toulouse — Stade de Reims · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Toulouse favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Stade de Reims in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Toulouse10 matchesStade de Reims10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
1.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.21 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots10/1012.3 shots/match
4.3 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match
48.3% ●Possession10/1045.6%
5.1 corners/match ●Corners10/104.4 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Nov 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsToulouseStade de Reims
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headToulouse — Stade de Reims
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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