PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Nantes 1–1 Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1

Nantes

WLDDD
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nantes and Olympique Lyonnais drew 1–1.

Shots
715
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.261.11
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nantes and Olympique Lyonnais drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Nantes – Olympique Lyonnais): shots 7–15, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.26–1.11, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympique Lyonnais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique Lyonnais's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.58 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Olympique Lyonnais have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.9%PossessionNantes · Olympique Lyonnais● 56%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNantesOlympique LyonnaisBaseline
Possession39.9%56%46.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Nantes have a visible home split

moderate

Nantes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match10.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots15 shotsNantes 7 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsNantes 5 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG1.11 xGNantes 1.26 xG, Olympique Lyonnais 1.11 xG
  • Possession37%63%Nantes 37%, Olympique Lyonnais 63%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersNantes 4 corners, Olympique Lyonnais 8 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsNantes 14 fouls, Olympique Lyonnais 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThiago Almada · Olympique Lyonnais · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDehmaine Tabibou · Nantes · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMoses Simon · Nantes · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedErnest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 58′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Olympique Lyonnais · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoses Simon · Nantes · 56′ · 0.05 xG · on targetErnest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 5′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetErnest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 28′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedErnest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 67′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 42′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 54′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 90′ · 0.24 xG · goalErnest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 10′ · 0.28 xG · goalMatthis Abline · Nantes · 65′ · 0.29 xG · on targetMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 90′ · 0.60 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 7 shots, 5 on target, 1.27 xG. Olympique Lyonnais: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 90′Ernest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 10′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 1.27 xG · Olympique Lyonnais 1.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nantes
2Draws
3Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais — Nantes · Ligue 12–0
Nantes — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–3
Olympique Lyonnais — Nantes · Ligue 11–0
Olympique Lyonnais — Nantes · Ligue 11–1
Nantes — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique Lyonnais in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes19 matchesOlympique Lyonnais19 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.69 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 13 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 5.21 shots/match
39.9%Possession19/19● 56%
4.63 corners/matchCorners19/19● 6 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jan 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNantesOlympique Lyonnais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headNantes — Olympique Lyonnais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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