PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Montpellier 1–4 Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique Lyonnais won 1–4.

Shots
119
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.40.95
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique Lyonnais beat Montpellier 4–1. Recorded in this match (Montpellier – Olympique Lyonnais): shots 11–9, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.4–0.95, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympique Lyonnais's recent record differs from the season

weak

Olympique Lyonnais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.82 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Olympique Lyonnais show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Olympique Lyonnais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsMontpellier · Olympique Lyonnais12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMontpellierOlympique LyonnaisBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Olympique Lyonnais have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.7%PossessionMontpellier · Olympique Lyonnais● 56%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMontpellierOlympique LyonnaisBaseline
Possession45.7%56%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsMontpellier 11 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsMontpellier 4 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.4 xG0.95 xGMontpellier 1.4 xG, Olympique Lyonnais 0.95 xG
  • Possession37%63%Montpellier 37%, Olympique Lyonnais 63%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersMontpellier 7 corners, Olympique Lyonnais 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsMontpellier 14 fouls, Olympique Lyonnais 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Enzo Tchato Mbiayi · Montpellier · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ferri · Montpellier · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMalick Fofana · Olympique Lyonnais · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTanner Tessmann · Olympique Lyonnais · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAndy Delort · Montpellier · 58′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTanner Tessmann · Olympique Lyonnais · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWahbi Khazri · Montpellier · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ferri · Montpellier · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoris Chotard · Montpellier · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedErnest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 40′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRabby Nzingoula · Montpellier · 49′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJoris Chotard · Montpellier · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 60′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGeorges Mikautadze · Olympique Lyonnais · 3′ · 0.10 xG · goalTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 8′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedErnest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 50′ · 0.16 xG · goalCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 53′ · 0.24 xG · goalAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 73′ · 0.33 xG · goalTanguy Coulibaly · Montpellier · 38′ · 0.98 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Montpellier: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.45 xG. Olympique Lyonnais: 9 shots, 6 on target, 0.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Tanguy Coulibaly · Montpellier · 38′Georges Mikautadze · Olympique Lyonnais · 3′Ernest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 50′Corentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 53′Alexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Montpellier 1.45 xG · Olympique Lyonnais 0.98 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Montpellier
0Draws
4Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais — Montpellier · Ligue 11–0
Montpellier — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–2
Olympique Lyonnais — Montpellier · Ligue 11–4
Olympique Lyonnais — Montpellier · Ligue 15–4
Montpellier — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Montpellier favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique Lyonnais in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Montpellier22 matchesOlympique Lyonnais22 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.82 goals/match
2.36 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.23 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.73 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 12.8 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 5.36 shots/match
45.7%Possession22/22● 56%
5.05 corners/matchCorners22/22● 5.73 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Feb 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMontpellierOlympique Lyonnais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headMontpellier — Olympique Lyonnais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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