Ligue 1 · 2024Fri, 28 Mar 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

RC Strasbourg

WDWWW

4–2Full-time recap

Olympique Lyonnais

WLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	RC Strasbourg	Olympique Lyonnais
Shots	14 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	7 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.09 xG/match	1.99 xG/match▲
Possession	40%	60%●
Corners	6 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

RC Strasbourg: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.10 xG. Olympique Lyonnais: 16 shots, 11 on target, 2.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Strasbourg 1.10 xG · Olympique Lyonnais 2.03 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Olympique Lyonnais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Olympique Lyonnais's recent record differs from the season

weak

Olympique Lyonnais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.93 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.93 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2RC Strasbourg

0Draws

3Olympique Lyonnais

30 Aug 2024Olympique Lyonnais — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 14–3

19 May 2024Olympique Lyonnais — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1

13 Aug 2023RC Strasbourg — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 12–1

28 Apr 2023RC Strasbourg — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–2

14 Jan 2023Olympique Lyonnais — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

RC Strasbourg favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Olympique Lyonnais in 6 · 5 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 27/27▲1.93 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 27/271.37 goals/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 26/27▲1.79 xG/match

1.66 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/27▲1.49 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/27▲12.8 shots/match

13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/2713.6 shots/match

4.42 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/27▲5.63 shots/match

4.92 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 26/275.37 shots/match

49.3%Possessionseason · 26/27●56.4%

4.04 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/27●5.33 corners/match

4.96 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/274.81 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2711.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/27▲33%

85%Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2785%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

RC Strasbourg58.3

Olympique Lyonnais80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

RC Strasbourg41.7

Olympique Lyonnais75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

RC Strasbourg47.2

Olympique Lyonnais38

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

RC Strasbourg2.8

Olympique Lyonnais30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

RC Strasbourg36.1

Olympique Lyonnais41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 48%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

RC Strasbourg25

Olympique Lyonnais80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

RC Strasbourg29.2

Olympique Lyonnais66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg27 matchesOlympique Lyonnais27 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲1.93 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed27/271.37 goals/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goals26/27▲1.79 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots26/27▲12.8 shots/match

4.42 shots/matchShots on target26/27▲5.63 shots/match

49.3%Possession26/27●56.4%

4.04 corners/matchCorners26/27●5.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFouls26/2711.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

RC Strasbourg13 matchesOlympique Lyonnais14 matches

1.85 goals/match▲Goals scored13/141.71 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/141.43 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals13/141.46 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShots13/14▲11.6 shots/match

4.46 shots/matchShots on target13/14▲5 shots/match

49.6%Possession13/14●55.4%

4.23 corners/matchCorners13/14●5.29 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1411.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.2 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples27 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Mar 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Olympique Lyonnais's recent record differs from the season

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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