PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Montpellier 0–2 Le Havre · Ligue 1

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Le Havre won 0–2.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
11.37
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Le Havre beat Montpellier 2–0. Recorded in this match (Montpellier – Le Havre): shots 14–13, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1–1.37, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsMontpellier 14 shots, Le Havre 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsMontpellier 6 shots, Le Havre 4 shots
  • Expected goals1 xG1.37 xGMontpellier 1 xG, Le Havre 1.37 xG
  • Possession54%46%Montpellier 54%, Le Havre 46%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersMontpellier 5 corners, Le Havre 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls7 foulsMontpellier 15 fouls, Le Havre 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Josué Casimir · Le Havre · 3′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 33′ · 0.01 xG · goalTimothee Pembele · Le Havre · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunior Mwanga · Le Havre · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pays · Montpellier · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 81′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKhalil Fayad · Montpellier · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÉtienne Youte Kinkoue · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndy Delort · Montpellier · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndy Delort · Montpellier · 2′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNicolas Pays · Montpellier · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Hassan · Le Havre · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTanguy Coulibaly · Montpellier · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pays · Montpellier · 12′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndy Delort · Montpellier · 23′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTanguy Coulibaly · Montpellier · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetOthmane Maamma · Montpellier · 63′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTimothee Pembele · Le Havre · 6′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOthmane Maamma · Montpellier · 72′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIssiaga Sylla · Montpellier · 80′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pays · Montpellier · 72′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 13′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAndy Delort · Montpellier · 1′ · 0.16 xG · on targetYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 3′ · 0.34 xG · goalYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 61′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Montpellier: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.01 xG. Le Havre: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Yassine Kechta · Le Havre · 3′Abdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Montpellier 1.01 xG · Le Havre 1.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Montpellier
1Draws
1Le Havre
Le Havre — Montpellier · Ligue 11–0
Le Havre — Montpellier · Ligue 10–2
Montpellier — Le Havre · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Montpellier favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Montpellier28 matchesLe Havre28 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.11 goals/match
2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 2.04 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals28/27▲ 1.33 xG/match
11.7 shots/match ▲Shots28/2710.5 shots/match
3.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/273.41 shots/match
45% ●Possession28/2741.9%
4.93 corners/match ●Corners28/273.89 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls28/2711.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Apr 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMontpellierLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headMontpellier — Le Havre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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