Ligue 1 · 2024Sat, 17 May 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

RC Lens

LWLWD

4–0Full-time recap

AS Monaco

WDDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	RC Lens	AS Monaco
Shots	15 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.78 xG/match▲	0.45 xG/match
Possession	46%	54%●
Corners	5 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

RC Lens: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.81 xG. AS Monaco: 6 shots, 4 on target, 0.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Lens 1.81 xG · AS Monaco 0.47 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.24 goals/match	1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.47 corners/match●CornersRC Lens · AS Monaco5.38 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	RC Lens	AS Monaco	Baseline
Corners	5.47 corners/match	5.38 corners/match	4.74 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2RC Lens

1Draws

2AS Monaco

1 Sept 2024AS Monaco — RC Lens · Ligue 11–1

25 Feb 2024RC Lens — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–3

2 Sept 2023AS Monaco — RC Lens · Ligue 13–0

22 Apr 2023RC Lens — AS Monaco · Ligue 13–0

20 Aug 2022AS Monaco — RC Lens · Ligue 11–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

RC Lens favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 8 · 4 too close

1.24 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/34▲1.85 goals/match

1.15 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/341.21 goals/match

1.56 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 34/34▲2.18 xG/match

1.34 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 34/34▲1.03 xG/match

14.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3414.6 shots/match

11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/34▲9.85 shots/match

4.62 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/34▲5.56 shots/match

4.21 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/34▲3.82 shots/match

54.1%Possessionseason · 34/34●55%

5.47 corners/match●Cornersseason · 34/345.38 corners/match

3.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/34▲3.47 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3413.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3432%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/34▲85%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

RC Lens69.4

AS Monaco75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

RC Lens53.7

AS Monaco82.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

RC Lens73.1

AS Monaco81.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

RC Lens86.1

AS Monaco69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

RC Lens97.2

AS Monaco91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

RC Lens91.7

AS Monaco80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

RC Lens78.5

AS Monaco86.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

RC Lens34 matchesAS Monaco34 matches

1.24 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲1.85 goals/match

1.15 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.21 goals/match

1.56 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲2.18 xG/match

14.3 shots/matchShots34/3414.6 shots/match

4.62 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲5.56 shots/match

54.1%Possession34/34●55%

5.47 corners/match●Corners34/345.38 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.6 fouls/matchFouls34/3413.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

RC Lens17 matchesAS Monaco17 matches

1.12 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲1.47 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.47 goals/match

1.74 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲1.95 xG/match

16.2 shots/match▲Shots17/1713.6 shots/match

5.12 shots/matchShots on target17/175.12 shots/match

56.7%●Possession17/1754.6%

6.65 corners/match●Corners17/176 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1714 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4