Bundesliga · 2024Sun, 25 Aug 2024, 15:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFC St. Pauli1. FC Heidenheim
Shots11 shots/match5 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.21 xG/match1.12 xG/match
Possession61%39%
Corners4 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Morgan Guilavogui · FC St. Pauli · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Guilavogui · FC St. Pauli · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLars Ritzka · FC St. Pauli · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedConnor Metcalfe · FC St. Pauli · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Treu · FC St. Pauli · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEric Smith · FC St. Pauli · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedConnor Metcalfe · FC St. Pauli · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHauke Wahl · FC St. Pauli · 66′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLars Ritzka · FC St. Pauli · 55′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedConnor Metcalfe · FC St. Pauli · 30′ · 0.27 xG · on targetPaul Wanner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 66′ · 0.33 xG · goalMorgan Guilavogui · FC St. Pauli · 47′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 82′ · 0.67 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC St. Pauli: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.24 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 5 shots, 3 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Paul Wanner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 66′Jan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC St. Pauli 1.24 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 1.13 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Aug 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4