1. FC Heidenheim beat FC Augsburg 4–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – FC Augsburg): shots 15–15, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 3.08–0.74, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
1. FC HeidenheimFC Augsburg
Shots15 shots15 shots1. FC Heidenheim 15 shots, FC Augsburg 15 shots
Shots on target8 shots1 shot1. FC Heidenheim 8 shots, FC Augsburg 1 shot
Expected goals3.08 xG0.74 xG1. FC Heidenheim 3.08 xG, FC Augsburg 0.74 xG
Possession36%64%1. FC Heidenheim 36%, FC Augsburg 64%
Corners5 corners6 corners1. FC Heidenheim 5 corners, FC Augsburg 6 corners
Fouls15 fouls10 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 15 fouls, FC Augsburg 10 fouls
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
FC Augsburg← attackingattacking →1. FC Heidenheim
off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG
1. FC Heidenheim: 15 shots, 8 on target, 3.08 xG. FC Augsburg: 15 shots, 1 on target, 0.75 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
1. FC Heidenheim3.08 xGFC Augsburg0.75 xG
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 3.08 xG · FC Augsburg 0.75 xG.
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive) too close
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
6.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
1. FC Heidenheim / FC Augsburg
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4