Serie A · 2023Sun, 20 Aug 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRomaSalernitana
Shots13 shots/match3 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.9 xG/match0.14 xG/match
Possession60%40%
Corners9 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Grigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Mancini · Roma · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdoardo Bove · Roma · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicola Zalewski · Roma · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRenato Sanches · Roma · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 49′ · 0.03 xG · goalGianluca Mancini · Roma · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChris Smalling · Roma · 33′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAndrea Belotti · Roma · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Belotti · Roma · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 36′ · 0.10 xG · goalStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 77′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Belotti · Roma · 82′ · 0.39 xG · goalAndrea Belotti · Roma · 17′ · 0.50 xG · goalGianluca Mancini · Roma · 33′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Roma: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.90 xG. Salernitana: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Andrea Belotti · Roma · 17′Andrea Belotti · Roma · 82′Antonio Candreva · Salernitana · 36′Antonio Candreva · Salernitana · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Roma 1.90 xG · Salernitana 0.15 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Roma
1Draws
0Salernitana
RomaSalernitana · Serie A22
SalernitanaRoma · Serie A01
RomaSalernitana · Serie A21
SalernitanaRoma · Serie A04

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Aug 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4