Serie A · 2023Mon, 28 Aug 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSalernitanaUdinese
Shots9 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals0.5 xG/match0.8 xG/match
Possession56%44%
Corners7 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Walace · Udinese · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pirola · Salernitana · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHassane Kamara · Udinese · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAgustín Martegani · Salernitana · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWalace · Udinese · 6′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGrigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNehuén Pérez · Udinese · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmil Bohinen · Salernitana · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDomagoj Bradarić · Salernitana · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoão Ferreira · Udinese · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNehuén Pérez · Udinese · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAgustín Martegani · Salernitana · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGrigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 70′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNehuén Pérez · Udinese · 16′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 67′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 57′ · 0.09 xG · goalFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 44′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 46′ · 0.13 xG · on targetBoulaye Dia · Salernitana · 72′ · 0.30 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Salernitana: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.51 xG. Udinese: 14 shots, 6 on target, 0.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Boulaye Dia · Salernitana · 72′Lazar Samardžić · Udinese · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Salernitana 0.51 xG · Udinese 0.80 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Salernitana
1Draws
1Udinese
SalernitanaUdinese · Serie A32
UdineseSalernitana · Serie A00
SalernitanaUdinese · Serie A04
UdineseSalernitana · Serie A01

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Salernitana favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Udinese in 0 · 13 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Salernitana
Udinese
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Salernitana
Udinese
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Salernitana
Udinese
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Salernitana
Udinese
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Salernitana
Udinese
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Salernitana
Udinese
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Salernitana
Udinese
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Salernitana2 matchesUdinese2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Salernitana1 matchesUdinese1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals1/1
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 28 Aug 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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